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Casa Pia

Season 2026-27 · Matchday 5

Champion
0%
Top 3
0%
Relegation
62%
Expected points: 29 ± 7Most likely finish: 18th (42%)Attack:18thDefense:17th

Position distribution

Probability of finishing in each league position.

8th
<1%
9th
<1%
10th
1%
11th
2%
12th
3%
13th
4%
14th
5%
15th
8%
16th
12%
17th
20%
18th
42%

Probability over time

How relegation probability has evolved across matchdays.

Survival scenarios

Three possible paths to avoiding relegation, based on model simulations.

Build your scenario

Pick results and see how the probability changes match by match.

MD
W
D
L
Survival
6
Porto(H)
38%
7
Estoril(A)
38%
8
Santa Clara(H)
38%
9
Estrela(A)
38%
10
Sporting(H)
38%
11
Alverca(A)
38%
12
Sp. Braga(H)
38%
13
Rio Ave(A)
38%
14
Nacional(H)
38%
15
Arouca(A)
38%
16
Famalicão(H)
38%
17
Ac. Viseu(A)
38%
18
Marítimo(H)
38%
19
Benfica(A)
38%
20
Gil Vicente(H)
38%
21
Moreirense(A)
38%
22
Vitória(H)
38%
23
Porto(A)
38%
24
Estoril(H)
38%
25
Santa Clara(A)
38%
26
Estrela(H)
38%
27
Sporting(A)
38%
28
Alverca(H)
38%
29
Sp. Braga(A)
38%
30
Rio Ave(H)
38%
31
Nacional(A)
38%
32
Arouca(H)
38%
33
Famalicão(A)
38%
34
Ac. Viseu(H)
38%

Decisive matches for Casa Pia

The remaining fixtures with the biggest impact on Casa Pia's survival probability.

Title race

Sporting
SportingvsCasa Pia
GW27
—
Current: 55%·If they win: 56%·If they lose: 40%
Casa PiavsSporting
GW10
—
Current: 55%·If they win: 57%·If they lose: 41%
Benfica
BenficavsCasa Pia
GW19
—
Current: 22%·If they win: 24%·If they lose: 12%
Porto
PortovsCasa Pia
GW23
—
Current: 22%·If they win: 24%·If they lose: 14%

Relegation battle

Casa Pia
Ac. ViseuvsCasa Pia
GW17
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 50%·If they lose: 70%
Rio AvevsCasa Pia
GW13
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 50%·If they lose: 69%
NacionalvsCasa Pia
GW31
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 50%·If they lose: 69%
Sp. BragavsCasa Pia
GW29
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 46%·If they lose: 65%
AlvercavsCasa Pia
GW11
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 49%·If they lose: 68%
EstrelavsCasa Pia
GW9
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 50%·If they lose: 69%
Casa PiavsEstrela
GW26
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 52%·If they lose: 71%
MoreirensevsCasa Pia
GW21
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 50%·If they lose: 69%
EstorilvsCasa Pia
GW7
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 49%·If they lose: 68%
Casa PiavsNacional
GW14
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 51%·If they lose: 70%