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Liga Portugal

2026-27 season

Sp. Braga

Liga Portugal forecast for Sp. Braga: end-of-season chances and what changes in the next match.

Forecast of 11 Oct, with 8 of matchday 8’s 9 games played · next forecast after matchday 8 (12 Oct)
Top 3
5.3%

Champion and relegation: below 1% in the simulations (relegation: 17th or 18th; 16th plays off and is not counted).

Expected points: 61 (90% of simulations between 51 and 72)Most likely finish: 4th (77%)Attack: 4th · Defence: 4th (strength estimated by the model among the 18 clubs, 1st = best; every club)

Position distribution

Probability of finishing in each league position.

Where Sp. Braga can finish

Share of simulations finishing in each position, on a 0–100% scale.

2nd
0.6%
3rd
4.6%
4th
77%
5th
12%
6th
3.6%
7th
1.5%
8th
0.6%
View as table: Probability of finishing in each position
Probability of finishing in each position
PositionProbability
1st0.1%
2nd0.6%
3rd4.6%
4th77%
5th12%
6th3.6%
7th1.5%
8th0.6%
9th0.3%
10th0.2%
11th0.1%
12th<0.1%
13th<0.1%
14th0%
15th0%
16th0%
17th0%
18th0%

Next match

What is at stake for Sp. Braga

Postponed round 2 match, now on 19 October

Neither the title nor relegation reaches 1% for Sp. Braga in this forecast.

The games Sp. Braga has left

In date order, Lisbon time. The model prices the next round; later dates can still change.

  1. Mon 19 Oct · 20:15Gil Vicentehome · MD2postponed
  2. Sun 25 Oct · 18:00Nacionalaway · MD9
  3. Sun 1 Nov · 20:30Famalicãohome · MD10
  4. Sun 8 Novprovisional dateRio Aveaway · MD11
  5. Mon 30 Novprovisional dateCasa Piaaway · MD12
  6. Sun 6 Decprovisional dateAroucahome · MD13
  7. Sun 13 Decprovisional dateBenficaaway · MD14
  8. Sun 20 Decprovisional dateAc. Viseuhome · MD15
  9. Sun 27 Decprovisional dateMarítimoaway · MD16
  10. Sun 10 Janprovisional datePortohome · MD17
  11. Sun 17 Janprovisional dateMoreirensehome · MD18
  12. Sun 24 Janprovisional dateGil Vicenteaway · MD19
  13. Sun 31 Janprovisional dateEstrelahome · MD20
  14. Sun 7 Febprovisional dateVitóriaaway · MD21
  15. Sun 14 Febprovisional dateAlvercahome · MD22
  16. Sun 21 Febprovisional dateEstorilaway · MD23
  17. Sun 28 Febprovisional dateSanta Clarahome · MD24
  18. Sun 7 Marprovisional dateSportingaway · MD25
  19. Sun 14 Marprovisional dateNacionalhome · MD26
  20. Sun 21 Marprovisional dateFamalicãoaway · MD27
  21. Sun 4 Aprprovisional dateRio Avehome · MD28
  22. Sun 11 Aprprovisional dateCasa Piahome · MD29
  23. Sun 18 Aprprovisional dateAroucaaway · MD30
  24. Sun 25 Aprprovisional dateBenficahome · MD31
  25. Sun 2 Mayprovisional dateAc. Viseuaway · MD32
  26. Sun 9 Mayprovisional dateMarítimohome · MD33
  27. Sun 16 Mayprovisional datePortoaway · MD34
Source: estimador.pt's bivariate Poisson Bayesian model, fitted to goals and shots on target; 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season (forecast of 11 October 2026). How the model worksOpen data