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Liga Portugal — Matchday 8
Simulator
Pick match results and see the impact on probabilities
Pick results and see how probabilities change
BRA
GILSLB
VSCRIO
NACMOR
GILMAR
PORFAM
ALVBRA
SCPARO
EAMACV
ESTCPA
STCImpact on title
Porto51%
Sporting CP26%
Benfica22%
Impact on relegation
Casa Pia47%
Nacional39%
Maritimo31%
Rio Ave23%
Estoril14%
Moreirense12%
Academico Viseu11%
Estrela Amadora10%
Alverca3%
Vitoria SC3%
Gil Vicente3%
Arouca2%
Famalicao1%
Simulated standings
| # | Team | Champion | Top 3 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 51% | 99% | 0% |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26% | 97% | 0% |
| 3 | Benfica | 22% | 96% | 0% |
| 4 | SC Braga | <1% | 8% | 0% |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 | Famalicao | 0% | <1% | 1% |
| 7 | Arouca | 0% | <1% | 2% |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 0% | <1% | 3% |
| 9 | Vitoria SC | 0% | <1% | 3% |
| 10 | Alverca | 0% | <1% | 3% |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 13 | Moreirense | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 14 | Estoril | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 0% | 0% | 23% |
| 16 | Maritimo | 0% | 0% | 31% |
| 17 | Nacional | 0% | 0% | 39% |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 0% | 0% | 47% |
Who finishes ahead?
Pick two teams and see who finishes ahead across 300 complete seasons drawn from the model's 50,000 simulations.
Champion: 51%·Points (median): 81
Champion: 26%·Points (median): 78
Porto finishes ahead of Sporting in 66% of simulations.
Level on points: 4%
-28-21-14-70+7+14+21+28
Sporting aheadPorto ahead
Points difference at the end of the season