Sporting·ForwardScoring skill
Data to 10 Oct 2026 (2026-27 season in progress)
What the number means: if Pedro Gonçalves plays 90 minutes at a neutral venue against an average Liga defence, the model expects 0.35 more goals than if that place were taken by a replacement-level player — the kind of signing any club can make for free. Goals are capped (winsorized) before the estimate, so one four-goal afternoon is not read as permanent skill.
The model puts 90% probability on the true value lying between 0.23 and 0.48. Fewer minutes, wider interval.
Attacking contribution
Seasons 2023-24 to 2026-27
#1 of 40 published
The same structure as the finishing metric, but adding goals and assists together. It sees what the goals-only metric could not: who creates.
Few minutes pull the estimate toward replacement level and widen the interval.
Minutes, matches and goals from 2023-24 to 2026-27 · Data to 10 Oct 2026 (2026-27 season in progress)
Season by season
Goals go up and down; the skill estimate barely moves. That is by design: the model only admits a change in skill when the data demand one, and across this player's three Liga Portugal seasons they never have.
| Season | Minutes | Goals | Skill (with margin) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 2,591 | 11 | +0.35 |
| 2024-25 | 882 | 5 | +0.35 |
| 2025-26 | 1,994 | 13 | +0.38 |
There is no telling whether he improved
Between 2024-25 and 2025-26 the estimate moved +0.025 — but the margin of error on that difference is ±0.116, 4.6 times larger. In other words: indistinguishable from zero. A big goal season is usually natural variation, not new skill.
Latest recorded appearances
Data to 10 Oct 2026 (2026-27 season in progress)
- 16 May16 May 2026Gil Vicentehome73' · startedno goals7.7
- 11 May11 May 2026Rio Aveaway82' · startedno goals6.7
- 4 May4 May 2026Vitóriahome78' · startedno goals6.9
- 29 Apr29 Apr 2026Tondelahome75' · startedno goals7.0
- 26 Apr26 Apr 2026AVSaway74' · startedno goals6.2
- 19 Apr19 Apr 2026Benficahome68' · startedno goals6.2
- 11 Apr11 Apr 2026Estrelaaway67' · startedno goals6.1
- 3 Apr3 Apr 2026Santa Clarahome45' · started17.2
Match-by-match data (SofaScore). The rating is the provider's, not the model's — the model only uses goals, minutes and opponent.
Bayesian player model fitted on 30,858 individual appearances since 2023-24, with a 600-minute minimum to qualify. Club = current squad (2026-27); the season-by-season table shows where he played each season. The finishing and contribution data runs to 10 October 2026, with the 2026-27 season in progress: minutes, goals and recent appearances stop there until those models are refitted; contested possession, goalkeepers and defenders use the seasons their own files list.