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Moreirense

Season 2026-27 · Matchday 5

Champion
0%
Top 3
0%
Relegation
12%
Expected points: 38 ± 7Most likely finish: 14th (9%)Attack:16thDefense:9th

Position distribution

Probability of finishing in each league position.

5th
3%
6th
4%
7th
5%
8th
6%
9th
7%
10th
8%
11th
9%
12th
9%
13th
9%
14th
9%
15th
9%
16th
9%
17th
7%
18th
5%

Probability over time

How relegation probability has evolved across matchdays.

Survival scenarios

Three possible paths to avoiding relegation, based on model simulations.

4 wins

4% of survival scenarios
88%
↓
99%
GW6MAR(H)Win
88%→92%
GW16ACV(H)Win
92%→96%
GW32NAC(H)Win
96%→98%
GW34RIO(H)Win
98%→99%
Also needs to happen
Rio Ave drops points vs MOR (GW34)

3 wins, 1 loss

3% of survival scenarios
88%
↓
96%
GW6MAR(H)Win
88%→92%
GW16ACV(H)Win
92%→96%
GW32NAC(H)Loss
96%→93%
GW34RIO(H)Win
93%→96%
Also needs to happen
Rio Ave drops points vs MOR (GW34)

3 wins, 1 draw

2% of survival scenarios
88%
↓
98%
GW6MAR(H)Win
88%→92%
GW16ACV(H)Win
92%→96%
GW32NAC(H)Draw
96%→95%
GW34RIO(H)Win
95%→98%
Also needs to happen
Rio Ave drops points vs MOR (GW34)

Build your scenario

Pick results and see how the probability changes match by match.

MD
W
D
L
Survival
3
Benfica(H)
88%
6
Marítimo(H)
88%
7
Vitória(A)
88%
8
Gil Vicente(H)
88%
9
Estoril(A)
88%
10
Estrela(H)
88%
11
Sporting(A)
88%
12
Santa Clara(H)
88%
13
Alverca(A)
88%
14
Famalicão(H)
88%
15
Nacional(A)
88%
16
Ac. Viseu(H)
88%
17
Rio Ave(A)
88%
18
Sp. Braga(A)
88%
19
Arouca(H)
88%
20
Benfica(A)
88%
21
Casa Pia(H)
88%
22
Porto(H)
88%
23
Marítimo(A)
88%
24
Vitória(H)
88%
25
Gil Vicente(A)
88%
26
Estoril(H)
88%
27
Estrela(A)
88%
28
Sporting(H)
88%
29
Santa Clara(A)
88%
30
Alverca(H)
88%
31
Famalicão(A)
88%
32
Nacional(H)
88%
33
Ac. Viseu(A)
88%
34
Rio Ave(H)
88%

Moreirense's matches affecting the race

Moreirense's fixtures that influence the title race or relegation battle.

Relegation battle

Casa Pia
MoreirensevsCasa Pia
GW21
—
Current: 62%·If they win: 50%·If they lose: 69%