#15 in the leagueof the top 40

Yassir Zabiri

Famalicão·Forward

Scoring skill

0.22Goals per 90 minutes above replacement
00.060.42 · 90% credible interval0.71
others in the top 40

What the number means: if Yassir Zabiri plays 90 minutes at a neutral venue against an average Liga defence, the model expects 0.22 more goals than if that place were taken by a replacement-level player — the kind of signing any club can make for free. Goals are capped (winsorized) before the estimate, so one four-goal afternoon is not read as permanent skill.

The model puts 90% probability on the true value lying between 0.06 and 0.42. Fewer minutes, wider interval.

Minutes
715
Matches
17
Goals
5
Actual goals/90
0.63
xG skill per 90
0.32
P(above replacement)
100%

Season by season

Goals go up and down; the skill estimate barely moves. That is by design: the model only admits a change in skill when the data demand one, and across three Liga Portugal seasons they never have.

SeasonMinutesGoalsSkill (with margin)
2024-25541
0.23
2025-266614
0.23

Did he improve? Can't say

Between 2024-25 and 2025-26 the estimate moved +0.001 — but the margin of error on that difference is ±0.161, many times larger. In other words: indistinguishable from zero. A big goal season is usually natural variation, not new skill.

Recent appearances

2026-01-18Santa Clara (away)23' · sub
2026-01-04Alverca (away)77' · started
2025-12-27Estrela (home)79' · started
2025-12-22Benfica (away)90' · started
2025-12-14Estoril (home)90' · started2 goals
2025-12-06Sp. Braga (home)90' · started1 goal
2025-11-29Moreirense (away)81' · started1 goal
2025-11-09Porto (home)68' · started

Match-by-match data (SofaScore). The rating is the provider's, not the model's — the model only uses goals, minutes and opponent.

All player metricsPrevious: Guilherme Schettine (#14)Next: Pau Víctor (#16)Club page: Famalicão

Bayesian player model fitted on 29,019 individual appearances since 2023-24, with a 600-minute minimum to qualify. Club = the player's most recent club in the data (2023-24 to 2026-27); recent transfers may not be reflected.