#21 in the leagueof the top 40

Franjo Ivanović

Benfica·Forward

Scoring skill

0.21Goals per 90 minutes above replacement
00.060.40 · 90% credible interval0.71
others in the top 40

What the number means: if Franjo Ivanović plays 90 minutes at a neutral venue against an average Liga defence, the model expects 0.21 more goals than if that place were taken by a replacement-level player — the kind of signing any club can make for free. Goals are capped (winsorized) before the estimate, so one four-goal afternoon is not read as permanent skill.

The model puts 90% probability on the true value lying between 0.06 and 0.40. Fewer minutes, wider interval.

Minutes
885
Matches
25
Goals
6
Actual goals/90
0.61
xG skill per 90
0.31
P(above replacement)
100%

Season by season

Goals go up and down; the skill estimate barely moves. That is by design: the model only admits a change in skill when the data demand one, and across three Liga Portugal seasons they never have.

SeasonMinutesGoalsSkill (with margin)
2025-268856
0.22

Did he improve? Can't say

There is only one season of this player in the model, so there is no change to measure. Even with more seasons, the measured difference is usually smaller than its own margin of error.

Recent appearances

2026-05-11Sp. Braga (home)61' · started
2026-05-02Famalicão (away)85' · started
2026-04-25Moreirense (home)15' · sub2 goals
2026-04-19Sporting (away)77' · started
2026-04-12Nacional (home)13' · sub
2026-04-06Casa Pia (away)9' · sub
2026-03-21Vitória (home)8' · sub
2026-03-14Arouca (away)16' · sub1 goal

Match-by-match data (SofaScore). The rating is the provider's, not the model's — the model only uses goals, minutes and opponent.

All player metricsPrevious: Kerem Aktürkoğlu (#20)Next: Rafa Silva (#22)Club page: Benfica

Bayesian player model fitted on 29,019 individual appearances since 2023-24, with a 600-minute minimum to qualify. Club = the player's most recent club in the data (2023-24 to 2026-27); recent transfers may not be reflected.