{
  "season": "2026-27",
  "matchday": 5,
  "n_sims": 50000,
  "timestamp": "2026-09-06T21:34:02.419828+00:00",
  "decisive_matches": [
    {
      "home_team": "Sporting CP",
      "away_team": "Benfica",
      "matchday": 33,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.6424,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5039,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.396,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.2464,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Academico Viseu",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.178,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.173,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.1671,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.174,
      "relegation_swing": 0.0108
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Sporting CP",
      "away_team": "Porto",
      "matchday": 29,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.644,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5121,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.4011,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.243,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Estoril",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.1285,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.1226,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.125,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.126,
      "relegation_swing": 0.0059
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Benfica",
      "away_team": "Sporting CP",
      "matchday": 16,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.4272,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5344,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.6631,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.2359,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Rio Ave",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.2666,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.2569,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.2652,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.2637,
      "relegation_swing": 0.0097
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Porto",
      "away_team": "Sporting CP",
      "matchday": 12,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.4307,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5391,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.6613,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.2306,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Rio Ave",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.2604,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.2685,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.2633,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.2637,
      "relegation_swing": 0.0081
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Academico Viseu",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 17,
      "most_affected_team": "Benfica",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.2227,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.2217,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.2297,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2243,
      "title_swing": 0.008,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6981,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6153,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.501,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1971
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Rio Ave",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 13,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5474,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5454,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5427,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0048,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6945,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6234,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.4993,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1951
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Nacional",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 31,
      "most_affected_team": "Porto",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.2204,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.2291,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.2233,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2234,
      "title_swing": 0.0087,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6907,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6106,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.4961,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1945
    },
    {
      "home_team": "SC Braga",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 29,
      "most_affected_team": "Porto",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.2216,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.2272,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.2294,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2234,
      "title_swing": 0.0078,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6531,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.5874,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.4612,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1919
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Alverca",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 11,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5513,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5405,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5395,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0118,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6835,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6204,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.4925,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.191
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Estrela Amadora",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 9,
      "most_affected_team": "Porto",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.2225,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.2234,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.2247,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2234,
      "title_swing": 0.0022,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6933,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6301,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.5046,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1887
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Estrela Amadora",
      "matchday": 26,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5418,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5546,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5417,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0129,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.5224,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6476,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.7109,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1885
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Moreirense",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 21,
      "most_affected_team": "Porto",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.225,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.2242,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.2197,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2234,
      "title_swing": 0.0053,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6889,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6198,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.5009,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1879
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Estoril",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 7,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5446,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5503,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5423,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0079,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6809,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6093,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.4934,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1875
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Nacional",
      "matchday": 14,
      "most_affected_team": "Porto",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.2235,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.2276,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.2203,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2234,
      "title_swing": 0.0073,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.5148,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6379,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.7012,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1864
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Alverca",
      "matchday": 28,
      "most_affected_team": "Benfica",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.2271,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.2212,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.2243,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2243,
      "title_swing": 0.0059,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.5145,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6338,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.7003,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1859
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Estoril",
      "matchday": 24,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5439,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5533,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5417,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0116,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.5091,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6347,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.6949,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1858
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Rio Ave",
      "matchday": 30,
      "most_affected_team": "Benfica",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.2228,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.2293,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.2219,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2243,
      "title_swing": 0.0074,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.5241,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6395,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.7099,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1858
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Academico Viseu",
      "matchday": 34,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5495,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5419,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5445,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0075,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.5204,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6431,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.706,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1855
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Maritimo",
      "matchday": 18,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5476,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5467,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5425,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.005,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.5199,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.644,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.7044,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1844
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Benfica",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 19,
      "most_affected_team": "Benfica",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.236,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.177,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.1201,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2243,
      "title_swing": 0.1159,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6377,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.5617,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.4554,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1822
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Porto",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 23,
      "most_affected_team": "Porto",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.2404,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.1609,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.1405,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2234,
      "title_swing": 0.0999,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6404,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.5768,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.4589,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1816
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Vitoria SC",
      "matchday": 22,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5378,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5441,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5508,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0129,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.5066,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6217,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.6849,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1783
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Santa Clara",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 25,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5485,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5448,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5392,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0093,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6715,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6195,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.4943,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1772
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Famalicao",
      "matchday": 16,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.541,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5444,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5488,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0079,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.5062,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6248,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.6827,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1765
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Sporting CP",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 27,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.561,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.452,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.395,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.166,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6336,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.5603,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.4574,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1762
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Arouca",
      "matchday": 32,
      "most_affected_team": "Porto",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.2216,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.2247,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.224,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2234,
      "title_swing": 0.0031,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.5176,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6334,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.6927,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1751
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Arouca",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 15,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5483,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5422,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5431,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0062,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6745,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6197,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.5022,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1724
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Sporting CP",
      "matchday": 10,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.4111,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.4616,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5699,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.1588,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.4694,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.5753,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.6403,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1709
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Famalicao",
      "away_team": "Casa Pia",
      "matchday": 33,
      "most_affected_team": "Sporting CP",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.5442,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.5478,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.5466,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.5455,
      "title_swing": 0.0037,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.6671,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6062,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.4967,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1704
    },
    {
      "home_team": "Casa Pia",
      "away_team": "Gil Vicente",
      "matchday": 20,
      "most_affected_team": "Benfica",
      "p_champ_if_H": 0.2212,
      "p_champ_if_D": 0.2296,
      "p_champ_if_A": 0.2227,
      "p_champ_baseline": 0.2243,
      "title_swing": 0.0084,
      "most_affected_relegation_team": "Casa Pia",
      "p_releg_if_H": 0.518,
      "p_releg_if_D": 0.6233,
      "p_releg_if_A": 0.688,
      "p_releg_baseline": 0.6211,
      "relegation_swing": 0.1699
    }
  ],
  "critical_paths": {
    "Benfica": {
      "target": "champion",
      "p_current": 0.2243,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36384,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.24656,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3896,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5365549215406562,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.231811697574893,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2316333808844508,
          "win_uplift": 0.1727149215406562
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.26066,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.23572,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.50362,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.41521041369472184,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.255527817403709,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.32926176890156916,
          "win_uplift": 0.15455041369472183
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.41306,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26588,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32106,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5592902995720399,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2395684736091298,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.20114122681883023,
          "win_uplift": 0.14623029957203992
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.31018,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27122,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4186,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4347360912981455,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2661376604850214,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2991262482168331,
          "win_uplift": 0.12455609129814549
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4764,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2386,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.285,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5910306704707561,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.20809557774607704,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2008737517831669,
          "win_uplift": 0.11463067047075609
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.59402,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21198,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.194,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6987339514978602,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1720756062767475,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.1291904422253923,
          "win_uplift": 0.10471395149786022
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.61196,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.23106,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.15698,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7131776034236804,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.18839158345221113,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.09843081312410841,
          "win_uplift": 0.10121760342368047
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.617,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21404,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.16896,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7127318116975749,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17510699001426533,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.11216119828815978,
          "win_uplift": 0.09573181169757494
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.60932,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21892,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.17176,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7039942938659058,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17894079885877318,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.11706490727532097,
          "win_uplift": 0.09467429386590587
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.6383,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21108,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.15062,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7290477888730386,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17430456490727533,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.09664764621968616,
          "win_uplift": 0.09074778887303858
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.71372,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.17086,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.11542,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7992154065620543,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12803138373751782,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07275320970042796,
          "win_uplift": 0.08549540656205423
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.69832,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.17332,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.12836,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7830777460770328,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1356098430813124,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.08131241084165478,
          "win_uplift": 0.08475774607703279
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.69578,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.17376,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.13046,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7804921540656206,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.13953281027104136,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07997503566333809,
          "win_uplift": 0.0847121540656206
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.7116,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.1873,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.1011,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7944008559201141,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.14300998573466475,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.06258915834522111,
          "win_uplift": 0.0828008559201141
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 3,
          "p_win_overall": 0.7022,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.18466,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.11314,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7835235378031383,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.14577389443651925,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07070256776034237,
          "win_uplift": 0.08132353780313828
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.69918,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.17992,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.1209,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7799572039942939,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1390870185449358,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.08095577746077033,
          "win_uplift": 0.08077720399429389
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.71618,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.17328,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.11054,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7940442225392297,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1383737517831669,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.06758202567760342,
          "win_uplift": 0.07786422253922964
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.71318,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.1763,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.11052,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7889621968616263,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1369472182596291,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07409058487874465,
          "win_uplift": 0.07578219686162624
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.73354,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16542,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.10104,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.808577032810271,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12678316690442226,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.0646398002853067,
          "win_uplift": 0.07503703281027108
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.7504,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.15452,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.09508,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8250713266761769,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.11804564907275321,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.0568830242510699,
          "win_uplift": 0.07467132667617693
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.7497,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.1596,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0907,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8226640513552068,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12089871611982882,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.05643723252496434,
          "win_uplift": 0.07296405135520678
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.7404,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16536,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.09424,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8117867332382311,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12865549215406563,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.059557774607703284,
          "win_uplift": 0.07138673323823119
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.7911,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.13652,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.07238,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8596647646219686,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.0990549215406562,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.041280313837375175,
          "win_uplift": 0.06856476462196859
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.79052,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.13334,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.07614,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8534236804564908,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.09923323823109843,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.04734308131241084,
          "win_uplift": 0.06290368045649075
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.79498,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.13958,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.06544,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8559201141226819,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.10458273894436519,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03949714693295293,
          "win_uplift": 0.060940114122681854
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.81064,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.12206,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0673,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8692047075606276,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.09111982881597717,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03967546362339515,
          "win_uplift": 0.058564707560627594
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.8229,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.11746,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.05964,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8794579172610556,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.08532453637660485,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.035217546362339515,
          "win_uplift": 0.056557917261055635
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.83752,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.10668,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0558,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8909593437945792,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.07658701854493581,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03245363766048502,
          "win_uplift": 0.05343934379457915
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.83022,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.11648,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0533,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8832917261055635,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.08630527817403709,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03040299572039943,
          "win_uplift": 0.053071726105563544
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.84756,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.10532,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.04712,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.891672610556348,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.08309557774607704,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.025231811697574894,
          "win_uplift": 0.044112610556348075
        }
      ]
    },
    "Porto": {
      "target": "champion",
      "p_current": 0.2234,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.356,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27532,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.36868,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5226031689195237,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25942171694566285,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.21797511413481335,
          "win_uplift": 0.16660316891952376
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.26166,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2645,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.47384,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.40435055053262914,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27857846208933845,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3170709873780324,
          "win_uplift": 0.14269055053262913
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4186,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27122,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.31018,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5547399516605497,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.24733685435502642,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.19792319398442396,
          "win_uplift": 0.13613995166054965
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32106,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26588,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.41306,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45501745591263093,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26094351445707636,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2840390296302927,
          "win_uplift": 0.13395745591263092
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4544,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27352,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.27208,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5648554292364157,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.24142869931071526,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.19371587145286903,
          "win_uplift": 0.11045542923641571
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.5565,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.24466,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.19884,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6610867424581506,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2072330140542476,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.13168024348760182,
          "win_uplift": 0.10458674245815058
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.57056,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27266,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.15678,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6681586250111897,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.22424133918181005,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.10760003580700027,
          "win_uplift": 0.09759862501118977
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.66836,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21304,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.1186,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7651060782382956,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.16453316623399875,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07036075552770567,
          "win_uplift": 0.09674607823829562
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.57238,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25516,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.17246,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6686062125145465,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.21323068659923014,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.11816310088622325,
          "win_uplift": 0.09622621251454655
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.57008,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2595,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.17042,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6615343299615075,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2226300241697252,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.11583564586876735,
          "win_uplift": 0.09145432996150749
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.59618,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2499,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.15392,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6871363351535225,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2066959090502193,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.10616775579625817,
          "win_uplift": 0.09095633515352242
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.65166,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21752,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.13082,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7417420105630651,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17411153880583655,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.08414645063109838,
          "win_uplift": 0.09008201056306508
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.65324,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21324,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.13352,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7404887655536657,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17088890878166682,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.08862232566466745,
          "win_uplift": 0.08724876555366567
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.66834,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21462,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.11704,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.755348670665115,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17088890878166682,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07376242055321816,
          "win_uplift": 0.08700867066511497
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.65934,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.22192,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.11874,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7461283680959627,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1762599588219497,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07761167308208755,
          "win_uplift": 0.08678836809596269
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.70064,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.19884,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.10052,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7855160683913706,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.15083698863127742,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.06364694297735207,
          "win_uplift": 0.08487606839137052
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.65388,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2094,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.13672,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.738429863038224,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17169456628770924,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.08987557067406678,
          "win_uplift": 0.08454986303822398
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.6753,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2025,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.1222,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7598245456986841,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.15880404619103033,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.08137140811028556,
          "win_uplift": 0.08452454569868406
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.66316,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2307,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.10614,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7471130606033479,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.18789723390922924,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.06498970548742279,
          "win_uplift": 0.08395306060334795
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.69056,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.20598,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.10346,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7696714707725361,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.16551785874138394,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.06481067048608002,
          "win_uplift": 0.07911147077253611
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.69126,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.20022,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.10852,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7702085757765643,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.15934115119505862,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07045027302837704,
          "win_uplift": 0.07894857577656433
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.74484,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16928,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.08588,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8216811386626085,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12568257094261928,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.052636290394772176,
          "win_uplift": 0.07684113866260855
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.72444,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.18968,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.08588,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8010025960075194,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.14340703607555277,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.05559036791692776,
          "win_uplift": 0.07656259600751947
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.76058,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16334,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.07608,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8364515262733865,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12022200340166503,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.043326470324948525,
          "win_uplift": 0.07587152627338645
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.77962,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.15236,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.06802,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8445081013338107,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.11529854086473906,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.04019335780145018,
          "win_uplift": 0.06488810133381073
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.77572,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.15748,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0668,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8385104287888282,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1217438009130785,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03974577029809328,
          "win_uplift": 0.06279042878882823
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.80076,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.14258,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.05666,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8616954614627159,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1026765732700743,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03562796526720974,
          "win_uplift": 0.06093546146271589
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.79508,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.14264,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.06228,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8558768239190762,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.10518306328887297,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03894011279205085,
          "win_uplift": 0.06079682391907615
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.7877,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.15118,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.06112,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8444185838331394,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.11914779339360845,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03643362277325217,
          "win_uplift": 0.056718583833139435
        }
      ]
    },
    "Sporting CP": {
      "target": "champion",
      "p_current": 0.5455,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.50362,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.23572,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.26066,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5930637533453093,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.21772922242182058,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.1892070242328702,
          "win_uplift": 0.0894437533453093
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.47384,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2645,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.26166,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5593723649961506,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2482677713824834,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.19235986362136598,
          "win_uplift": 0.08553236499615063
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3896,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.24656,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.36384,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4735491439674451,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.24152216152802727,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2849286945045276,
          "win_uplift": 0.08394914396744507
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36868,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27532,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.356,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.44689665285771896,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2720607104886901,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2810426366535909,
          "win_uplift": 0.07821665285771895
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.5429,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.23032,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.22678,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6064816512079774,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.21080030795175422,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.18271804084026835,
          "win_uplift": 0.06358165120797732
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.66158,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21498,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.12344,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7146313744180078,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.18821717930857498,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.09715144627341717,
          "win_uplift": 0.05305137441800789
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.65786,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.20706,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.13508,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7107453165670712,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.18436778238076035,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.1048869010521685,
          "win_uplift": 0.05288531656707118
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.663,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.20508,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.13192,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7143014261099094,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17923525314367417,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.1064633207464164,
          "win_uplift": 0.0513014261099094
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.6527,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.196,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.1513,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7033031491732962,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17648568390952085,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.12021116691718298,
          "win_uplift": 0.050603149173296225
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.68602,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.19326,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.12072,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7348315430582542,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17190306851926532,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.09326538842248047,
          "win_uplift": 0.04881154305825419
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.74216,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.15952,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.09832,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7874399677383876,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.13707519155332332,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07548484070828904,
          "win_uplift": 0.045279967738387605
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.75054,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.17092,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.07854,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7941122557465997,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.14613043956446822,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.05975730468893207,
          "win_uplift": 0.04357225574659973
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.74022,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16076,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.09902,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.783590570810573,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.13868827217069327,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07772115701873374,
          "win_uplift": 0.04337057081057305
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.74456,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16248,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.09296,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.787696594200242,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1393848297100121,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.07291857608974595,
          "win_uplift": 0.04313659420024196
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.77938,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.14538,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.07524,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8209847123950581,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12215419584265132,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.05686109176229057,
          "win_uplift": 0.04160471239505814
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.7626,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.1509,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0865,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8039740440664296,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1289364666202295,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.06708948931334091,
          "win_uplift": 0.04137404406642964
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.74934,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.164,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.08666,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7905194852806393,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.14290427832972835,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.0665762363896323,
          "win_uplift": 0.041179485280639305
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.7767,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.14994,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.07336,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8172086373134876,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1271034204641273,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.05568794222238516,
          "win_uplift": 0.04050863731348764
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.75822,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.15958,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0822,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7984382446750009,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1393848297100121,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.062176925614986986,
          "win_uplift": 0.0402182446750009
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.80372,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.13484,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.06144,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8396084613410566,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1140887927558016,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.04630274590314184,
          "win_uplift": 0.03588846134105661
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.77974,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.14476,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0755,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8147890163874326,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1270300986178832,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.058180884994684164,
          "win_uplift": 0.03504901638743263
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.83248,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.11132,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0562,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8657843604501961,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.09091908934266965,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.043296550207134216,
          "win_uplift": 0.033304360450196135
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.8342,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.11586,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.04994,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8647945155259009,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.09795798658210214,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03724749789199692,
          "win_uplift": 0.030594515525900867
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.82948,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.11472,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0558,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8589287678263738,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.09902115335264142,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.042050078820984715,
          "win_uplift": 0.029448767826373845
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.85648,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.10074,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.04278,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8840048392418521,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.08362356564138285,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03237159511676504,
          "win_uplift": 0.027524839241852117
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.85812,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.09834,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.04354,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8852513106280017,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.0823404333321113,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03240825603988708,
          "win_uplift": 0.02713131062800167
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.86218,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.09764,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.04018,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8884041500164974,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.0810939619459618,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.030501888037540784,
          "win_uplift": 0.02622415001649747
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.86768,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.09122,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.0411,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.8931334090992411,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.07614473732448583,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.03072185357627305,
          "win_uplift": 0.025453409099241098
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.87566,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.09102,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.03332,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.90046559372365,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.07541151886204495,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.024122887414305093,
          "win_uplift": 0.024805593723649988
        }
      ]
    },
    "Academico Viseu": {
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.826,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42114,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27064,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.30822,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45450583506851966,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2663793520894872,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.27911481284199313,
          "win_uplift": 0.033365835068519645
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.44722,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27924,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.27354,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.47866931383468114,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2746840346714445,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.24664665149387438,
          "win_uplift": 0.031449313834681136
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42478,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28458,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.29064,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45607960873565445,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27814633673914096,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2657740545252046,
          "win_uplift": 0.03129960873565446
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.40916,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27716,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.31368,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.439082853130599,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2726502348554549,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.28826691201394605,
          "win_uplift": 0.029922853130599003
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3233,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2672,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4095,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3531305990024696,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2684131519054767,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.37845624909205366,
          "win_uplift": 0.02983059900246965
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38658,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2892,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32422,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4158152147595758,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28521621228996175,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2989685729504625,
          "win_uplift": 0.0292352147595758
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35072,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28996,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35932,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3792552418769067,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2901796523170791,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3305651058060142,
          "win_uplift": 0.028535241876906703
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3885,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26746,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.34404,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.41702580988814103,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2653140283763498,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.31766016173550915,
          "win_uplift": 0.028525809888141018
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36868,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27874,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35258,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.39654254031281777,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27683889400029055,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3266185656868917,
          "win_uplift": 0.027862540312817763
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32926,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28438,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38636,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3562297225315965,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2830371410585444,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3607331364098591,
          "win_uplift": 0.02696972253159652
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28988,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26176,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.44836,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.31635271899665873,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2634254999757881,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.42022178102755314,
          "win_uplift": 0.026472718996658706
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35672,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2665,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37678,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.38310493438574406,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2674930996077672,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.34940196600648876,
          "win_uplift": 0.026384934385744074
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28992,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28624,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42384,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3148515810372379,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2876616144496634,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.39748680451309865,
          "win_uplift": 0.024931581037237915
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36154,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27004,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.36842,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.38632511742772746,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2688247542491889,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.34485012832308365,
          "win_uplift": 0.024785117427727488
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2979,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2797,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4224,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.32240569463948476,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27928429615999223,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.39831000920052295,
          "win_uplift": 0.024505694639484765
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.27094,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27382,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.45524,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.29419882814391557,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2758704178974384,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.42993075395864605,
          "win_uplift": 0.023258828143915555
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.26266,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25118,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.48616,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.28584572175681566,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2538133746549804,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.46034090358820395,
          "win_uplift": 0.023185721756815658
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3211,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2894,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3895,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.34422061885622973,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28921117621422693,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.36656820492954334,
          "win_uplift": 0.023120618856229735
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2672,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26004,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.47276,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2900828047067939,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2604474359595177,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.44946975933368843,
          "win_uplift": 0.02288280470679388
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2955,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.279,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4255,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.31812018788436397,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2803738317757009,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4015059803399351,
          "win_uplift": 0.022620187884363985
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.21824,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25578,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.52598,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.23817248559391796,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2597452907849499,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5020822236211322,
          "win_uplift": 0.01993248559391797
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.22954,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29566,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4748,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.24928574887414653,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.29705583264732943,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.45365841847852406,
          "win_uplift": 0.01974574887414654
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.21484,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26452,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.52064,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.23400803835165368,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2681710328797637,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.49782092876858264,
          "win_uplift": 0.019168038351653677
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.18938,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2313,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.57932,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.20706019078979226,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.23567865962907364,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.557261149581134,
          "win_uplift": 0.01768019078979227
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.12264,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.19212,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.68524,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.13532032347101836,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.19822284635126627,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6664568301777154,
          "win_uplift": 0.012680323471018357
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.10104,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16542,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.73354,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.11076945426371604,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17229189869739964,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7169386470388843,
          "win_uplift": 0.009729454263716034
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.07524,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.14538,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.77938,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.08333736865042855,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1517359934143625,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.764926637935209,
          "win_uplift": 0.008097368650428552
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.06802,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.15236,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.77962,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.07508110987361387,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1577647571546172,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7671541329717689,
          "win_uplift": 0.007061109873613872
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.04278,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.10074,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.85648,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.04808483850660985,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.10459541910803351,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8473197423853567,
          "win_uplift": 0.0053048385066098505
        }
      ]
    },
    "Alverca": {
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.8504,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.48902,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2751,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.23588,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5164044309602766,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2698087913638609,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.21378677767586254,
          "win_uplift": 0.02738443096027654
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.40114,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26452,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.33434,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4274559608645547,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26080105364660505,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3117429854888403,
          "win_uplift": 0.026315960864554677
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.45524,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27382,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.27094,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.48089089583480327,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2680448740563042,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2510642301088925,
          "win_uplift": 0.02565089583480329
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.46464,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26096,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.2744,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4900162280392295,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2564265387238646,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2535572332369059,
          "win_uplift": 0.02537622803922951
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.44898,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27202,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.279,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.47423504786095627,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26806839295373835,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2576965591853054,
          "win_uplift": 0.02525504786095628
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35222,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27666,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37112,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.37743126602224886,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2755003645429102,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3470683694348409,
          "win_uplift": 0.02521126602224888
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42706,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26818,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.30476,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45200968978574285,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26475222841553187,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2832380817987253,
          "win_uplift": 0.024949689785742857
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.40654,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26544,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32802,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4314306545309156,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26157717726192997,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.30699216820715447,
          "win_uplift": 0.0248906545309156
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38904,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28752,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32344,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4137444436604812,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2856605282344364,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.30059502810508243,
          "win_uplift": 0.02470444366048119
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35604,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27404,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.36992,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.38051224158611446,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27350125826101274,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.34598650015287286,
          "win_uplift": 0.02447224158611444
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42288,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28724,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.28988,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4471883158117547,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28281474164491166,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.26999694254333356,
          "win_uplift": 0.024308315811754744
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37208,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28584,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.34208,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.39636397845668997,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2834497518756321,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.320186269667678,
          "win_uplift": 0.024283978456689947
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35258,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27874,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.36868,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3759260565864672,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2765822338248783,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3474917095886545,
          "win_uplift": 0.023346056586467212
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.30016,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26146,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.43838,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3234083586161481,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2622827441849526,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4143088971988993,
          "win_uplift": 0.0232483586161481
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32848,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27058,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.40094,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3515604788447518,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2693384134151791,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.37910110774006917,
          "win_uplift": 0.023080478844751784
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3314,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28254,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38606,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3533243961523084,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28133305110656415,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3653425527411275,
          "win_uplift": 0.0219243961523084
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35952,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28556,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35492,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3813824407911757,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2832851195935934,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.33533243961523085,
          "win_uplift": 0.02186244079117572
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32834,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28858,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38308,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3495378536654202,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28827112584962017,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.36219102048495966,
          "win_uplift": 0.021197853665420152
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.33212,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28836,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37952,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3532538394600061,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2865777652343658,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.36016839530562805,
          "win_uplift": 0.021133839460006076
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.30466,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26524,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4301,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.32552505938521603,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26442296385145464,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.41005197676332933,
          "win_uplift": 0.020865059385216045
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.27036,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28192,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.44772,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.28911780615724736,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28422587549095696,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4266563183517957,
          "win_uplift": 0.01875780615724737
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2439,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26882,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.48728,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.26108328041581413,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2723253133893083,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4665914061948776,
          "win_uplift": 0.01718328041581413
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2443,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27312,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.48258,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2613419882875891,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27547684564547614,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.46318116606693477,
          "win_uplift": 0.0170419882875891
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2618,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.30092,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.43728,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.27867541569651216,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.3018885674639573,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4194360168395306,
          "win_uplift": 0.016875415696512186
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.14668,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21088,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.64244,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.15863496319292553,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.21555069498341917,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6258143418236554,
          "win_uplift": 0.011954963192925522
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.13082,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21752,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.65166,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.14172487593781605,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.22284155318798654,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6354335708741974,
          "win_uplift": 0.010904875937816055
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.1209,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.17992,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.69918,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.13074155083609681,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.18474093934476352,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6845175098191397,
          "win_uplift": 0.009841550836096821
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.09296,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16248,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.74456,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.09988475740257297,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.16761918201274725,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7324960605846798,
          "win_uplift": 0.006924757402572965
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.07238,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.13652,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.7911,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.07820033396834357,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.14144264916860697,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7803570168630495,
          "win_uplift": 0.005820333968343569
        }
      ]
    },
    "Casa Pia": {
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.3789,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37694,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29632,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32674,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.47513987121292095,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2755726802491291,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.24928744853794996,
          "win_uplift": 0.09819987121292095
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3587,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28402,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35728,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4544494880185791,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2668109363454027,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.27873957563601814,
          "win_uplift": 0.09574948801857908
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35932,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28996,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35072,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.454766177557268,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27309194552939936,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.27214187691333264,
          "win_uplift": 0.09544617755726803
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37102,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28262,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.34636,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4659558745909427,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2688694183468806,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2651747070621767,
          "win_uplift": 0.09493587459094266
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.33432,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2817,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38398,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.428058693127837,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2691861078855695,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3027551989865935,
          "win_uplift": 0.093738693127837
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.30914,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27216,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4187,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.40050670326190224,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26237728280375805,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3371160139343397,
          "win_uplift": 0.09136670326190222
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32344,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28752,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38904,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4144410429642141,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2778950701995144,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3076638868362715,
          "win_uplift": 0.09100104296421407
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.27572,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27558,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4487,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.36429853267180407,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27388366937612163,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3618177979520743,
          "win_uplift": 0.08857853267180404
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28552,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29036,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42412,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3732714029346564,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28343713712657026,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.34329145993877336,
          "win_uplift": 0.08775140293465639
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.27354,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27924,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.44722,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.36023435025862977,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28348991871635176,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.35627573102501847,
          "win_uplift": 0.08669435025862976
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3155,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27602,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.40848,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4016678982370949,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26707484429431017,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.33125725746859497,
          "win_uplift": 0.08616789823709492
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.24896,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2643,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.48674,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.331046131109469,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27161406101551777,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3973398078750132,
          "win_uplift": 0.08208613110946902
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.25544,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28626,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4583,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3364298532671804,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2872374115908371,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.37633273514198246,
          "win_uplift": 0.08098985326718039
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.23588,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2751,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.48902,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.31595059643196455,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2755726802491291,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4084767233189064,
          "win_uplift": 0.08007059643196454
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.25684,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28518,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.45798,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.334424152855484,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2847038952813259,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3808719518631901,
          "win_uplift": 0.07758415285548398
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.25514,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28694,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.45792,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3324712340335691,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2841232977937295,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3834054681727014,
          "win_uplift": 0.07733123403356912
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28154,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2941,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42436,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3581230866673704,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2924100073894226,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.349466905943207,
          "win_uplift": 0.0765830866673704
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.22274,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25228,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.52498,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.29779372954713396,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26010767444315425,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4420985960097118,
          "win_uplift": 0.07505372954713396
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2719,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.31516,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.41294,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.34387205742636967,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.31046131109469016,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.34566663147894017,
          "win_uplift": 0.0719720574263697
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.22782,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25866,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.51352,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.299324395650797,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2595798585453394,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4410957458038636,
          "win_uplift": 0.071504395650797
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.19916,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29072,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.51012,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.26580808613955453,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2919349730813892,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.44225694077905625,
          "win_uplift": 0.06664808613955453
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.17734,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25914,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.56352,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.23556423519476408,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26934445265491397,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.495091312150322,
          "win_uplift": 0.05822423519476408
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.15976,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2278,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.61244,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.21249868046025547,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2384672226327457,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5490340969069989,
          "win_uplift": 0.052738680460255455
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.10412,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.18372,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.71216,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.14805235933706323,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2000422252718252,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6519054153911116,
          "win_uplift": 0.04393235933706323
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.08588,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.18968,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.72444,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.11749181885358387,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.21044019845877757,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6720679826876386,
          "win_uplift": 0.03161181885358387
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.06144,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.13484,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.80372,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.08603399134381928,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1511136915443893,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7628523171117914,
          "win_uplift": 0.02459399134381928
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.05666,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.14258,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.80076,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.08091417713501531,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.15924205637073788,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7598437664942468,
          "win_uplift": 0.024254177135015306
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.04712,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.10532,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.84756,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.06771877968964425,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12181990921566557,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8104613110946902,
          "win_uplift": 0.02059877968964425
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.03332,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.09102,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.87566,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.047714557162461736,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.10561596115274992,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8466694816847884,
          "win_uplift": 0.014394557162461734
        }
      ]
    },
    "Estoril": {
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.874,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.45456,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27144,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.274,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4775514874141876,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26681922196796337,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.25562929061784895,
          "win_uplift": 0.022991487414187606
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.48102,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25498,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.264,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5038215102974828,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25036613272311214,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.24581235697940504,
          "win_uplift": 0.022801510297482785
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.52498,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25228,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.22274,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5476201372997712,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.24624713958810068,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.20613272311212816,
          "win_uplift": 0.022640137299771212
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.48616,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25118,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.26266,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.508604118993135,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.24578947368421053,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.24560640732265446,
          "win_uplift": 0.022444118993134976
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4187,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27216,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.30914,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.44102974828375285,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26958810068649885,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2893821510297483,
          "win_uplift": 0.022329748283752837
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.50216,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25716,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.24068,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5241418764302059,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25130434782608696,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2245537757437071,
          "win_uplift": 0.021981876430205882
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38706,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25834,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3546,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.40901601830663614,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2576201372997712,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3333638443935927,
          "win_uplift": 0.021956018306636127
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.45844,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2557,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.28586,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4802745995423341,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25187643020594963,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2678489702517162,
          "win_uplift": 0.021834599542334077
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.43838,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26146,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.30016,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.46020594965675055,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25819221967963385,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.28160183066361555,
          "win_uplift": 0.021825949656750554
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37982,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2622,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35798,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.40137299771167045,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2599771167048055,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.33864988558352405,
          "win_uplift": 0.021552997711670463
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.39632,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26898,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3347,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.41723112128146456,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2666361556064073,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.31613272311212814,
          "win_uplift": 0.02091112128146455
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37678,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2665,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35672,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.39748283752860414,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26466819221967963,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.33784897025171623,
          "win_uplift": 0.020702837528604134
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 5,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4333,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25296,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.31374,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45377574370709384,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2503203661327231,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2959038901601831,
          "win_uplift": 0.02047574370709382
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37152,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29278,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3357,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.391578947368421,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2888787185354691,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3195423340961098,
          "win_uplift": 0.02005894736842101
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35236,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27562,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37202,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3719221967963387,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2738901601830664,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.35418764302059497,
          "win_uplift": 0.019562196796338693
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3898,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27408,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.33612,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4093592677345538,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2720594965675057,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3185812356979405,
          "win_uplift": 0.019559267734553798
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.33022,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2536,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.41618,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3489702517162471,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2523112128146453,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.39871853546910757,
          "win_uplift": 0.018750251716247113
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.33434,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26452,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.40114,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3525858123569794,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2639359267734554,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3834782608695652,
          "win_uplift": 0.018245812356979363
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3609,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26808,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37102,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3791075514874142,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2676430205949657,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.35324942791762015,
          "win_uplift": 0.01820755148741421
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28156,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29272,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42572,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2990846681922197,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2924027459954233,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.408512585812357,
          "win_uplift": 0.017524668192219706
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.26594,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25946,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4746,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.28322654462242564,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2599771167048055,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.45679633867276886,
          "win_uplift": 0.017286544622425626
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.29198,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26984,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.43818,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.30899313501144166,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2699771167048055,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.42102974828375284,
          "win_uplift": 0.017013135011441638
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.26174,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2636,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.47466,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2771853546910755,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2640045766590389,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4588100686498856,
          "win_uplift": 0.015445354691075552
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2375,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2387,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.5238,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.25153318077803205,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2408695652173913,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5075972540045767,
          "win_uplift": 0.014033180778032062
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.15832,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2019,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.63978,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.1689016018306636,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.20478260869565218,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6263157894736842,
          "win_uplift": 0.010581601830663617
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.13046,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.17376,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.69578,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.14016018306636155,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1765903890160183,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6832494279176201,
          "win_uplift": 0.009700183066361556
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.13672,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2094,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.65388,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.1459496567505721,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.21265446224256293,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.641395881006865,
          "win_uplift": 0.00922965675057208
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.09902,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16076,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.74022,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.10583524027459955,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.16416475972540046,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.73,
          "win_uplift": 0.006815240274599552
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.08588,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16928,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.74484,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.09162471395881007,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1734096109839817,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7349656750572082,
          "win_uplift": 0.0057447139588100715
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.0562,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.11132,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.83248,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.060617848970251714,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.11489702517162471,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8244851258581236,
          "win_uplift": 0.004417848970251714
        }
      ]
    },
    "Estrela Amadora": {
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.833,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3938,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27918,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32702,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4233613445378151,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2765906362545018,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3000480192076831,
          "win_uplift": 0.029561344537815115
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42412,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29036,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.28552,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4528691476590636,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2866026410564226,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2605282112845138,
          "win_uplift": 0.028749147659063612
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38636,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28438,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32926,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4148859543817527,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28069627851140455,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.30441776710684276,
          "win_uplift": 0.028525954381752705
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36032,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28132,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35836,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.38876350540216087,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2779591836734694,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.33327731092436974,
          "win_uplift": 0.028443505402160896
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36306,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.296,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.34094,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3901080432172869,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.294765906362545,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.31512605042016806,
          "win_uplift": 0.027048043217286932
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3347,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26898,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.39632,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.36136854741896757,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2684753901560624,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.37015606242497,
          "win_uplift": 0.02666854741896757
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38428,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28216,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.33356,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4101800720288115,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28036014405762305,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.30945978391356543,
          "win_uplift": 0.025900072028811505
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32674,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29632,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37694,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.352436974789916,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2965426170468187,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3510204081632653,
          "win_uplift": 0.025696974789916005
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.34208,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28584,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37208,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.36705882352941177,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28482593037214887,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.34811524609843936,
          "win_uplift": 0.024978823529411776
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.33836,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27504,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3866,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3627130852340936,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2746938775510204,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.36259303721488595,
          "win_uplift": 0.02435308523409363
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.30126,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27452,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42422,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3253781512605042,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27649459783913566,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.39812725090036016,
          "win_uplift": 0.024118151260504206
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.29136,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27854,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4301,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3153421368547419,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27827130852340937,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.40638655462184875,
          "win_uplift": 0.023982136854741876
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.29064,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28458,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42478,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3143577430972389,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2855222088835534,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4001200480192077,
          "win_uplift": 0.023717743097238897
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.27372,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29076,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.43552,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2963025210084034,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2920528211284514,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.41164465786314525,
          "win_uplift": 0.022582521008403356
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.30322,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2916,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.40518,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3253781512605042,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.29015606242497,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3844657863145258,
          "win_uplift": 0.02215815126050419
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.27266,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28536,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.44198,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.29459783913565424,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2853781512605042,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.42002400960384156,
          "win_uplift": 0.021937839135654225
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.24068,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25716,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.50216,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.26160864345738294,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2610324129651861,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.47735894357743097,
          "win_uplift": 0.020928643457382934
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28948,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.31116,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.39936,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3095798319327731,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.31006002400960386,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.38036014405762303,
          "win_uplift": 0.020099831932773093
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2483,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26134,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.49036,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2673469387755102,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26271308523409365,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.46993997599039616,
          "win_uplift": 0.019046938775510197
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.21946,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27428,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.50626,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.23812725090036013,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2770708283313325,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4848019207683073,
          "win_uplift": 0.018667250900360144
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.19688,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2609,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.54222,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.21433373349339735,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2647298919567827,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5209363745498199,
          "win_uplift": 0.01745373349339735
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.21526,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29444,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4903,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.23214885954381753,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.29817527010804323,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.46967587034813923,
          "win_uplift": 0.016888859543817525
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.19892,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2633,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.53778,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2146218487394958,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2667466986794718,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5186314525810324,
          "win_uplift": 0.01570184873949579
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 3,
          "p_win_overall": 0.1743,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.23056,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.59514,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.1889315726290516,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.23430972388955582,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5767587034813926,
          "win_uplift": 0.014631572629051598
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.11296,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.18848,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.69856,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.12432172869147659,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1937094837935174,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.681968787515006,
          "win_uplift": 0.011361728691476586
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.10052,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.19884,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.70064,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.10953181272509004,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.20482593037214886,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6856422569027611,
          "win_uplift": 0.009011812725090038
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.0907,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.1596,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.7497,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.09947178871548619,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.16362545018007202,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7369027611044418,
          "win_uplift": 0.008771788715486187
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.06112,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.15118,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.7877,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.06746698679471788,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.15608643457382954,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7764465786314526,
          "win_uplift": 0.006346986794717881
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.0533,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.11648,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.83022,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.05877551020408163,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12129651860744298,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8199279711884754,
          "win_uplift": 0.0054755102040816295
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.04018,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.09764,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.86218,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.04432172869147659,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1012484993997599,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8544297719087635,
          "win_uplift": 0.0041417286914765886
        }
      ]
    },
    "Maritimo": {
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.8579,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42444,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26636,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3092,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4512519233459225,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2614351657574486,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2873129108966289,
          "win_uplift": 0.026811923345922528
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4301,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27854,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.29136,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4564041590898494,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27376789294540027,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2698279479647503,
          "win_uplift": 0.0263041590898494
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35728,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28402,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3587,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3827574952207768,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2832097729286147,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3340327318506085,
          "win_uplift": 0.025477495220776802
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38964,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28586,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3245,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.41495314029934255,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2814146500676085,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.30363220963304893,
          "win_uplift": 0.025313140299342562
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35798,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2622,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37982,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3826642420851401,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25905721079871313,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.35827854711614676,
          "win_uplift": 0.024684242085140085
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38636,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27164,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.342,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4107567491956917,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2713899379866648,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3178533128176435,
          "win_uplift": 0.024396749195691736
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32344,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2725,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.40406,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.347834195924838,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2730218678603068,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3791439362148552,
          "win_uplift": 0.02439419592483799
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.33356,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28216,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38428,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3568564367976873,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2819974821653378,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3611460810369749,
          "win_uplift": 0.02329643679768728
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36556,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26666,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.36778,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3885625029141605,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2664708350818296,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3449666620040099,
          "win_uplift": 0.023002502914160505
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37112,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27666,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35222,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3941110644845433,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2758894017811349,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.32999953373432184,
          "win_uplift": 0.0229910644845433
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32628,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28524,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38848,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.34911642653984243,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28390917144588984,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.36697440201426773,
          "win_uplift": 0.022836426539842414
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.31368,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27716,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.40916,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.33545484216906796,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27682193313750175,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3877232246934303,
          "win_uplift": 0.021774842169067943
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28948,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2686,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.44192,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.31064950808970954,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27085373245675387,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.41849675945353665,
          "win_uplift": 0.02116950808970952
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.29332,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2847,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42198,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3142164405278127,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28565766773907775,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.40012589173310953,
          "win_uplift": 0.0208964405278127
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.30142,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2812,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.41738,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3222362101925677,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28304657994125054,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.39471720986618175,
          "win_uplift": 0.020816210192567686
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.279,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27202,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.44898,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2998088310719448,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27432741175922043,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4258637571688348,
          "win_uplift": 0.020808831071944756
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3188,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.30572,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37548,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.33951135356926376,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.3045414277055066,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3559472187252296,
          "win_uplift": 0.02071135356926379
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2955,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28248,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42202,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.31575511726581806,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2834195924837973,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.40082529025038466,
          "win_uplift": 0.02025511726581808
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.264,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25498,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.48102,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2841423042849816,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2567725089756143,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4590851867394041,
          "win_uplift": 0.020142304284981594
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.234,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29628,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.46972,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2507343684431389,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.29845666060521286,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.45080897095164824,
          "win_uplift": 0.016734368443138886
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.21482,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25818,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.527,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.23143096936634494,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26199468457126873,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5065743460623864,
          "win_uplift": 0.01661096936634493
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2386,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27422,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.48718,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.25495407283069893,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2784305497272346,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4666153774420665,
          "win_uplift": 0.016354072830698924
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.1882,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.23282,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.57898,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.20266237702242737,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.23704947078845526,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5602881521891173,
          "win_uplift": 0.014462377022427364
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.12468,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.19212,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.6832,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.1360096983261062,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.19690399589686203,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6670863057770318,
          "win_uplift": 0.01132969832610621
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.10852,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.20022,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.69126,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.11735907119876905,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.20478388585816198,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6778570429430689,
          "win_uplift": 0.008839071198769047
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.0755,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.14476,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.77974,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.08280878444537698,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1508136336084301,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.766377581946193,
          "win_uplift": 0.007308784445376984
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.0668,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.15748,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.77572,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.07245768638970486,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1625402154147433,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7650020981955519,
          "win_uplift": 0.005657686389704861
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.05964,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.11746,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.8229,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.06516062852613419,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12234811395533175,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.812491257518534,
          "win_uplift": 0.005520628526134191
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.04354,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.09834,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.85812,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.04797873828507484,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.10215881008998928,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8498624516249359,
          "win_uplift": 0.004438738285074836
        }
      ]
    },
    "Moreirense": {
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.8781,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.43348,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27722,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.2893,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45551860793513416,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.274199426046554,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.27028196601831184,
          "win_uplift": 0.02203860793513418
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42198,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2847,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.29332,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.44383455564159796,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28050835876645563,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2756570855919464,
          "win_uplift": 0.02185455564159794
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4583,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28626,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.25544,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4798660775292671,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2831503666924794,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.23698355577825353,
          "win_uplift": 0.02156607752926709
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42384,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28624,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.28992,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.44499612809183253,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28353755750922427,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2714663143989432,
          "win_uplift": 0.021156128091832538
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.39932,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27916,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32152,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.420238691750558,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2754521022183756,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.30430920603106637,
          "win_uplift": 0.020918691750557994
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.43552,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29076,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.27372,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45604245433425955,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2867034118343734,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.257254133831367,
          "win_uplift": 0.020522454334259532
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.34094,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.296,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.36306,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3614312394661322,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2938778299093518,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.344690930624516,
          "win_uplift": 0.020491239466132183
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38308,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28858,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32834,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4035439347697353,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2849268892634264,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.31152917596683827,
          "win_uplift": 0.020463934769735348
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37202,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27562,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35236,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.39242928073611805,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27449551314171183,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.33307520612217006,
          "win_uplift": 0.02040928073611803
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.33122,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2818,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38698,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.35115929485719494,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28176103493827725,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.36707967020452786,
          "win_uplift": 0.019939294857194922
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28988,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28724,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42288,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3086821846672437,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28786498428460805,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.40345283104814833,
          "win_uplift": 0.01880218466724365
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37436,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28256,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.34308,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3930670067872273,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2808272217920102,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3261057714207625,
          "win_uplift": 0.018707006787227254
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32422,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2892,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38658,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.34277775247118847,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2884571584749237,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.36876508905388783,
          "win_uplift": 0.01855775247118846
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.33242,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29834,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.36924,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.35036213729330845,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2966109415569626,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.35302692114972894,
          "win_uplift": 0.017942137293308458
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3245,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28586,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38964,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.342253906072063,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28606568578326425,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.37168040814467274,
          "win_uplift": 0.017753906072063008
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.31168,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2913,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.39702,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3289299867899604,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2920329795472145,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.37903703366282515,
          "win_uplift": 0.01724998678996037
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.30422,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27798,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4178,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.32109506673347604,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2791873548034437,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3997175784630802,
          "win_uplift": 0.016875066733476052
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32274,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.32296,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3543,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.33945246663326195,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.32141392975903066,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3391336036077074,
          "win_uplift": 0.016712466633261924
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.30578,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29704,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.39718,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3222338632533139,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.29665649341775613,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.38110964332893,
          "win_uplift": 0.016453863253313883
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.274,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27144,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.45456,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2900514736026967,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27281009429235187,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4371384321049515,
          "win_uplift": 0.016051473602696653
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2466,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28876,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.46464,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2608755067644513,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2905069922106318,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4486175010249169,
          "win_uplift": 0.014275506764451301
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2275,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27878,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.49372,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.24153874185760488,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2827631758757345,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4756980822666606,
          "win_uplift": 0.01403874185760487
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.24448,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.31406,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.44146,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.25848403407279186,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.3161526898373799,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.42536327608982827,
          "win_uplift": 0.014004034072791854
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.22378,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27964,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.49658,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.23734797066460164,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2811460848175648,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4815059445178336,
          "win_uplift": 0.013567970664601636
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.13928,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.21412,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.6466,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.1487268254908213,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.21858060401767412,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6326925704915046,
          "win_uplift": 0.00944682549082132
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.11874,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.22192,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.65934,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.12665694893636406,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2256411424406687,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6477019086229673,
          "win_uplift": 0.007916948936364063
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 3,
          "p_win_overall": 0.11314,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.18466,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.7022,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.12096296633717488,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1895412927618093,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6894957409010158,
          "win_uplift": 0.007822966337174872
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.08666,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.164,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.74934,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.09283469229718035,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.16863298865758666,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.738532319045233,
          "win_uplift": 0.006174692297180345
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.06544,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.13958,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.79498,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.07008153783082038,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.14207625381496833,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7878422083542113,
          "win_uplift": 0.004641537830820386
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.04994,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.11586,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.8342,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.053500660501981503,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.11893590853186353,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8275634309661549,
          "win_uplift": 0.003560660501981505
        }
      ]
    },
    "Nacional": {
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.8614,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4541,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26172,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.28418,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.48093800789412583,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25662874390527046,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.26243324820060365,
          "win_uplift": 0.026838007894125826
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.44192,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2686,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.28948,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.46682145344787557,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2636173670768516,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2695611794752728,
          "win_uplift": 0.024901453447875588
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38398,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2817,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.33432,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.40884606454608774,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2794056187601579,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.31174831669375436,
          "win_uplift": 0.02486606454608775
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.44836,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26176,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.28988,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4730438820524727,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25672161597399584,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.27023450197353144,
          "win_uplift": 0.02468388205247274
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.48674,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2643,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.24896,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.510958904109589,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25943812398421173,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.22960297190619922,
          "win_uplift": 0.02421890410958899
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35836,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28132,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.36032,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3808451358254005,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28017181332714186,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3389830508474576,
          "win_uplift": 0.022485135825400515
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.40094,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27058,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32848,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.423380543301602,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2673322498258649,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3092872068725331,
          "win_uplift": 0.022440543301602
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4178,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27798,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.30422,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4399814255862549,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2731831901555607,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.28683538425818433,
          "win_uplift": 0.02218142558625491
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.34404,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26746,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3885,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3661249129324356,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2663570931042489,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3675179939633155,
          "win_uplift": 0.022084912932435585
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32152,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27916,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.39932,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.34334803807754816,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2784072440213606,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.37824471790109127,
          "win_uplift": 0.021828038077548184
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.39624,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26384,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.33992,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4180403993498955,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.261690271650801,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.32026932899930344,
          "win_uplift": 0.021800399349895527
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.34892,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26336,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38772,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.37039702809380076,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2657998606918969,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3638031112143023,
          "win_uplift": 0.021477028093800754
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32284,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27778,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.39938,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3440910146273508,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.275922916182958,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3799860691896912,
          "win_uplift": 0.021251014627350795
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.342,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27164,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38636,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.36317622475040634,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2716275830044114,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.36519619224518224,
          "win_uplift": 0.021176224750406314
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35336,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28268,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.36396,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.37422800092872066,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2807058277223125,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3450661713489668,
          "win_uplift": 0.020868000928720654
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3415,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.29882,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35968,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.361759925702345,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2959136289760854,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.34232644532156953,
          "win_uplift": 0.020259925702344972
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.30476,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26818,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42706,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3248200603668447,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2681680984443928,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4070118411887625,
          "win_uplift": 0.020060060366844712
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32174,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28322,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.39504,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.34132807058277226,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28286510332017645,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3758068260970513,
          "win_uplift": 0.019588070582772232
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28586,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2557,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.45844,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.30471325748781053,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25730206640352915,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4379846761086603,
          "win_uplift": 0.018853257487810526
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2934,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25766,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.44894,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3121894590201997,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2586487114000464,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4291618295797539,
          "win_uplift": 0.018789459020199684
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.26312,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2692,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.46768,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.28075226375667517,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2711167866264221,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4481309496169027,
          "win_uplift": 0.01763226375667515
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2397,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.264,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4963,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2564197817506385,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26672858137915023,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.47685163687021126,
          "win_uplift": 0.016719781750638513
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.21236,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.23576,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.55188,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.22674715579289528,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2388901787787323,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5343626654283724,
          "win_uplift": 0.01438715579289529
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.14112,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.19672,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.66216,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.15205479452054796,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.20053401439517066,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6474111910842814,
          "win_uplift": 0.010934794520547964
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.1222,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2025,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.6753,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.13113536104016718,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.20594381239842116,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6629208265614116,
          "win_uplift": 0.008935361040167178
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.11542,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.17086,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.71372,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.12423960993731135,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.17592291618295797,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6998374738797307,
          "win_uplift": 0.00881960993731136
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.0865,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.1509,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.7626,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.09328999303459484,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.15467843046203855,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7520315765033666,
          "win_uplift": 0.006789993034594849
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.07608,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.16334,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.76058,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.08279544926863246,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.16812166241003018,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7490828883213374,
          "win_uplift": 0.006715449268632462
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.0673,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.12206,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.81064,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.07285813791502206,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.12663106570698862,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8005107963779893,
          "win_uplift": 0.005558137915022063
        }
      ]
    },
    "Rio Ave": {
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.7363,
      "matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4487,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27558,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.27572,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.49535528031290743,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26648739678400696,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2381573229030856,
          "win_uplift": 0.04665528031290744
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4095,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2672,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3233,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45189591481964364,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26167970447631467,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.28642438070404175,
          "win_uplift": 0.042395914819643665
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.40406,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2725,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.32344,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4452683615819209,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2668948283355063,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2878368100825728,
          "win_uplift": 0.04120836158192093
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38772,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26336,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.34892,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.42875380269448066,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25768687527162104,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3135593220338983,
          "win_uplift": 0.04103380269448065
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.34636,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28262,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37102,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3871957844415472,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.28028574532811823,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.33251847023033465,
          "win_uplift": 0.040835784441547174
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42422,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27452,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.30126,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.46477075184702304,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26760104302477183,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2676282051282051,
          "win_uplift": 0.04055075184702306
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36992,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27404,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.35604,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4103378965667101,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26971968709256844,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3199424163407214,
          "win_uplift": 0.040417896566710076
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38698,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2818,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.33122,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.42606475445458497,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2764558887440243,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2974793568013907,
          "win_uplift": 0.03908475445458498
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3546,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25834,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.38706,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3929813124728379,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2574152542372881,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.349603433289874,
          "win_uplift": 0.03838131247283788
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3092,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26636,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42444,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3463439808778792,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26673185571490654,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.38692416340721425,
          "win_uplift": 0.037143980877879235
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32702,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27918,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.3938,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3628042155584528,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27833007388092135,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.35886571056062583,
          "win_uplift": 0.03578421555845285
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32278,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.28078,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.39644,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3582138200782269,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2778954802259887,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3638906996957844,
          "win_uplift": 0.035433820078226874
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28418,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26172,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4541,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3194534984789222,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26279335071707954,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4177531508039983,
          "win_uplift": 0.035273498478922194
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.30822,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27064,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.42114,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.34319317687961753,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27023576705780095,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.38657105606258146,
          "win_uplift": 0.03497317687961754
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2893,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27722,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.43348,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3234734897870491,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.27971534115601915,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.39681116905693176,
          "win_uplift": 0.034173489787049094
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.28812,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.27924,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.43264,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.32225119513255107,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2793079096045198,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.39844089526292914,
          "win_uplift": 0.034131195132551084
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35954,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26592,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.37454,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.39360604085180356,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.26241308126901347,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.34398087787918297,
          "win_uplift": 0.034066040851803536
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2744,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.26096,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.46464,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3084528465884398,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2628476749239461,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4286994784876141,
          "win_uplift": 0.03405284658843982
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 22,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3065,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.30226,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.39124,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3388200782268579,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.30160799652325077,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.35957192524989134,
          "win_uplift": 0.032320078226857896
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.29434,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2712,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.43446,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3264341590612777,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2706703607127336,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4028954802259887,
          "win_uplift": 0.032094159061277716
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Arouca",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2629,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.253,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.4841,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.29443720121686223,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.25575836592785745,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.4498044328552803,
          "win_uplift": 0.03153720121686221
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.20984,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.25354,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.53662,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.23821164710995218,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2570349847892221,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5047533681008257,
          "win_uplift": 0.028371647109952186
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.21118,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.2505,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.53832,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.2371251629726206,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2545632333767927,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5083116036505867,
          "win_uplift": 0.02594516297262059
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.18592,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.22264,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.59144,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.21039765319426337,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2269393741851369,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.5626629726205997,
          "win_uplift": 0.02447765319426337
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.11906,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.182,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.69894,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.13670686657974793,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.18918405041286399,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.6741090830073881,
          "win_uplift": 0.017646866579747927
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.09508,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.15452,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.7504,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.10959908735332465,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.16142438070404172,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7289765319426337,
          "win_uplift": 0.014519087353324647
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.06228,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.14264,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.79508,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.07094741416775315,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.14960886571056062,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.7794437201216863,
          "win_uplift": 0.008667414167753143
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.0558,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.10668,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.83752,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.06312472837896567,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.11285853976531943,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8240167318557149,
          "win_uplift": 0.007324728378965667
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.0411,
          "p_draw_overall": 0.09122,
          "p_loss_overall": 0.86768,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.04718057366362451,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.09756627553237723,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.8552531508039982,
          "win_uplift": 0.006080573663624515
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "victory_paths": {
    "Benfica": {
      "target": "champion",
      "n_target": 11216,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.2243,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36384,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5365549215406562,
          "win_uplift": 0.1727149215406562,
          "remaining_sims": 6018,
          "pct_of_target": 0.5366
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.26066,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.41521041369472184,
          "win_uplift": 0.15455041369472183,
          "remaining_sims": 2335,
          "pct_of_target": 0.2082
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.41306,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5592902995720399,
          "win_uplift": 0.14623029957203992,
          "remaining_sims": 1249,
          "pct_of_target": 0.1114
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.31018,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4347360912981455,
          "win_uplift": 0.12455609129814549,
          "remaining_sims": 470,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0419
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4764,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5910306704707561,
          "win_uplift": 0.11463067047075609,
          "remaining_sims": 247,
          "pct_of_target": 0.022
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": [
        {
          "rival": "Sporting CP",
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.4964,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.6707,
          "drop_uplift": 0.1744
        },
        {
          "rival": "Sporting CP",
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.6104,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.7684,
          "drop_uplift": 0.158
        },
        {
          "rival": "Sporting CP",
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.3384,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.4061,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0677
        },
        {
          "rival": "Porto",
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.6789,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.7989,
          "drop_uplift": 0.1199
        },
        {
          "rival": "Porto",
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.5814,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.7009,
          "drop_uplift": 0.1195
        },
        {
          "rival": "Porto",
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.4435,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.4796,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0361
        }
      ]
    },
    "Porto": {
      "target": "champion",
      "n_target": 11171,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.2234,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.356,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5226031689195237,
          "win_uplift": 0.16660316891952376,
          "remaining_sims": 5838,
          "pct_of_target": 0.5226
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.26166,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.40435055053262914,
          "win_uplift": 0.14269055053262913,
          "remaining_sims": 2252,
          "pct_of_target": 0.2016
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4186,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5547399516605497,
          "win_uplift": 0.13613995166054965,
          "remaining_sims": 1162,
          "pct_of_target": 0.104
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.32106,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45501745591263093,
          "win_uplift": 0.13395745591263092,
          "remaining_sims": 446,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0399
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4544,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5648554292364157,
          "win_uplift": 0.11045542923641571,
          "remaining_sims": 240,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0215
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": [
        {
          "rival": "Sporting CP",
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.5262,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.6829,
          "drop_uplift": 0.1568
        },
        {
          "rival": "Sporting CP",
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.6313,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.782,
          "drop_uplift": 0.1507
        },
        {
          "rival": "Sporting CP",
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.4571,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.5361,
          "drop_uplift": 0.079
        },
        {
          "rival": "Benfica",
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.5869,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.716,
          "drop_uplift": 0.129
        },
        {
          "rival": "Benfica",
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.6898,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.8021,
          "drop_uplift": 0.1123
        },
        {
          "rival": "Benfica",
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.5236,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.5576,
          "drop_uplift": 0.034
        }
      ]
    },
    "Sporting CP": {
      "target": "champion",
      "n_target": 27277,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.5455,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.50362,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5930637533453093,
          "win_uplift": 0.0894437533453093,
          "remaining_sims": 16177,
          "pct_of_target": 0.5931
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.47384,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5593723649961506,
          "win_uplift": 0.08553236499615063,
          "remaining_sims": 8913,
          "pct_of_target": 0.3268
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3896,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4735491439674451,
          "win_uplift": 0.08394914396744507,
          "remaining_sims": 4002,
          "pct_of_target": 0.1467
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36868,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.44689665285771896,
          "win_uplift": 0.07821665285771895,
          "remaining_sims": 1624,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0595
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.5429,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6064816512079774,
          "win_uplift": 0.06358165120797732,
          "remaining_sims": 939,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0344
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": [
        {
          "rival": "Benfica",
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.6362,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.7151,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0789
        },
        {
          "rival": "Benfica",
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.7393,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.8108,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0715
        },
        {
          "rival": "Benfica",
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.5236,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.5537,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0301
        },
        {
          "rival": "Porto",
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.644,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.719,
          "drop_uplift": 0.075
        },
        {
          "rival": "Porto",
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.7383,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.8076,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0693
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "survival_paths": {
    "Academico Viseu": {
      "target": "survival",
      "n_target": 41302,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.826,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42114,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45450583506851966,
          "win_uplift": 0.033365835068519645,
          "remaining_sims": 18772,
          "pct_of_target": 0.4545
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.44722,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.47866931383468114,
          "win_uplift": 0.031449313834681136,
          "remaining_sims": 8863,
          "pct_of_target": 0.2146
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42478,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45607960873565445,
          "win_uplift": 0.03129960873565446,
          "remaining_sims": 3986,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0965
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.40916,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.439082853130599,
          "win_uplift": 0.029922853130599003,
          "remaining_sims": 1735,
          "pct_of_target": 0.042
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3233,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3531305990024696,
          "win_uplift": 0.02983059900246965,
          "remaining_sims": 562,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0136
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": [
        {
          "rival": "Rio Ave",
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.5905,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.6215,
          "drop_uplift": 0.031
        }
      ]
    },
    "Alverca": {
      "target": "survival",
      "n_target": 42519,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.8504,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.48902,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5164044309602766,
          "win_uplift": 0.02738443096027654,
          "remaining_sims": 21957,
          "pct_of_target": 0.5164
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.40114,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4274559608645547,
          "win_uplift": 0.026315960864554677,
          "remaining_sims": 9250,
          "pct_of_target": 0.2175
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.45524,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.48089089583480327,
          "win_uplift": 0.02565089583480329,
          "remaining_sims": 4385,
          "pct_of_target": 0.1031
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.46464,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4900162280392295,
          "win_uplift": 0.02537622803922951,
          "remaining_sims": 2094,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0492
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.44898,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.47423504786095627,
          "win_uplift": 0.02525504786095628,
          "remaining_sims": 980,
          "pct_of_target": 0.023
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": []
    },
    "Casa Pia": {
      "target": "survival",
      "n_target": 18946,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.3789,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 26,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37694,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.47513987121292095,
          "win_uplift": 0.09819987121292095,
          "remaining_sims": 9002,
          "pct_of_target": 0.4751
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3587,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4544494880185791,
          "win_uplift": 0.09574948801857908,
          "remaining_sims": 4008,
          "pct_of_target": 0.2115
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35932,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.454766177557268,
          "win_uplift": 0.09544617755726803,
          "remaining_sims": 1704,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0899
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.37102,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4659558745909427,
          "win_uplift": 0.09493587459094266,
          "remaining_sims": 717,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0378
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.33432,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.428058693127837,
          "win_uplift": 0.093738693127837,
          "remaining_sims": 275,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0145
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": [
        {
          "rival": "Rio Ave",
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.5513,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.6382,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0869
        },
        {
          "rival": "Rio Ave",
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.6536,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.7348,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0812
        },
        {
          "rival": "Academico Viseu",
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.5528,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.6437,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0909
        },
        {
          "rival": "Academico Viseu",
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.6493,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.7279,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0786
        }
      ]
    },
    "Estoril": {
      "target": "survival",
      "n_target": 43700,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.874,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.45456,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4775514874141876,
          "win_uplift": 0.022991487414187606,
          "remaining_sims": 20869,
          "pct_of_target": 0.4776
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.48102,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5038215102974828,
          "win_uplift": 0.022801510297482785,
          "remaining_sims": 10523,
          "pct_of_target": 0.2408
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.52498,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5476201372997712,
          "win_uplift": 0.022640137299771212,
          "remaining_sims": 5688,
          "pct_of_target": 0.1302
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.48616,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.508604118993135,
          "win_uplift": 0.022444118993134976,
          "remaining_sims": 2819,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0645
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4187,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.44102974828375285,
          "win_uplift": 0.022329748283752837,
          "remaining_sims": 1230,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0281
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": []
    },
    "Estrela Amadora": {
      "target": "survival",
      "n_target": 41650,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.833,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3938,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4233613445378151,
          "win_uplift": 0.029561344537815115,
          "remaining_sims": 17633,
          "pct_of_target": 0.4234
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42412,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4528691476590636,
          "win_uplift": 0.028749147659063612,
          "remaining_sims": 7872,
          "pct_of_target": 0.189
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38636,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4148859543817527,
          "win_uplift": 0.028525954381752705,
          "remaining_sims": 3150,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0756
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36032,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.38876350540216087,
          "win_uplift": 0.028443505402160896,
          "remaining_sims": 1138,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0273
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.36306,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3901080432172869,
          "win_uplift": 0.027048043217286932,
          "remaining_sims": 411,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0099
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": []
    },
    "Maritimo": {
      "target": "survival",
      "n_target": 42894,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.8579,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42444,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4512519233459225,
          "win_uplift": 0.026811923345922528,
          "remaining_sims": 19356,
          "pct_of_target": 0.4513
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4301,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4564041590898494,
          "win_uplift": 0.0263041590898494,
          "remaining_sims": 8795,
          "pct_of_target": 0.205
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35728,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3827574952207768,
          "win_uplift": 0.025477495220776802,
          "remaining_sims": 3311,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0772
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38964,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.41495314029934255,
          "win_uplift": 0.025313140299342562,
          "remaining_sims": 1351,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0315
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.35798,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3826642420851401,
          "win_uplift": 0.024684242085140085,
          "remaining_sims": 479,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0112
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": []
    },
    "Moreirense": {
      "target": "survival",
      "n_target": 43906,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.8781,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.43348,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45551860793513416,
          "win_uplift": 0.02203860793513418,
          "remaining_sims": 20000,
          "pct_of_target": 0.4555
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42198,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.44383455564159796,
          "win_uplift": 0.02185455564159794,
          "remaining_sims": 8823,
          "pct_of_target": 0.201
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4583,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4798660775292671,
          "win_uplift": 0.02156607752926709,
          "remaining_sims": 4133,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0941
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.42384,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.44499612809183253,
          "win_uplift": 0.021156128091832538,
          "remaining_sims": 1787,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0407
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.39932,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.420238691750558,
          "win_uplift": 0.020918691750557994,
          "remaining_sims": 696,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0159
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": []
    },
    "Nacional": {
      "target": "survival",
      "n_target": 43070,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.8614,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 25,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4541,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.48093800789412583,
          "win_uplift": 0.026838007894125826,
          "remaining_sims": 20714,
          "pct_of_target": 0.4809
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.44192,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.46682145344787557,
          "win_uplift": 0.024901453447875588,
          "remaining_sims": 9524,
          "pct_of_target": 0.2211
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38398,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.40884606454608774,
          "win_uplift": 0.02486606454608775,
          "remaining_sims": 3748,
          "pct_of_target": 0.087
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.44836,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4730438820524727,
          "win_uplift": 0.02468388205247274,
          "remaining_sims": 1713,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0398
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.48674,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.510958904109589,
          "win_uplift": 0.02421890410958899,
          "remaining_sims": 838,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0195
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": []
    },
    "Rio Ave": {
      "target": "survival",
      "n_target": 36816,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "p_current": 0.7363,
      "funnel": [
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4487,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.49535528031290743,
          "win_uplift": 0.04665528031290744,
          "remaining_sims": 18237,
          "pct_of_target": 0.4954
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4095,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.45189591481964364,
          "win_uplift": 0.042395914819643665,
          "remaining_sims": 8041,
          "pct_of_target": 0.2184
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.40406,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4452683615819209,
          "win_uplift": 0.04120836158192093,
          "remaining_sims": 3410,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0926
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.38772,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.42875380269448066,
          "win_uplift": 0.04103380269448065,
          "remaining_sims": 1439,
          "pct_of_target": 0.0391
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.34636,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3871957844415472,
          "win_uplift": 0.040835784441547174,
          "remaining_sims": 552,
          "pct_of_target": 0.015
        }
      ],
      "rival_conditions": [
        {
          "rival": "Casa Pia",
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.629,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.6675,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0385
        },
        {
          "rival": "Casa Pia",
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.7243,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.7618,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0376
        },
        {
          "rival": "Academico Viseu",
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.6767,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.7136,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0369
        },
        {
          "rival": "Academico Viseu",
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "matchday": 10,
          "p_rival_drops_overall": 0.5789,
          "p_rival_drops_given_target": 0.6134,
          "drop_uplift": 0.0346
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "narrative_scenarios": {
    "Benfica": {
      "team": "Benfica",
      "target": "champion",
      "p_current": 0.2243,
      "n_target": 11216,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.1821,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3102,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4347,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2661,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2991,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9877,
          "team_swing": 0.1541
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.594,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6987,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1721,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.1292,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.8828,
          "team_swing": 0.1145
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4764,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.591,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2081,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2009,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.976,
          "team_swing": 0.1202
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2607,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4152,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2555,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3293,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9792,
          "team_swing": 0.2107
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "7": "W",
            "14": "W",
            "31": "W",
            "33": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0651,
          "n_sims_matching": 730,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 7,
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.2243,
              "p_target_after": 0.3144,
              "n_sims_remaining": 15509
            },
            {
              "matchday": 14,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.3144,
              "p_target_after": 0.3649,
              "n_sims_remaining": 9242
            },
            {
              "matchday": 31,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.3649,
              "p_target_after": 0.4313,
              "n_sims_remaining": 4479
            },
            {
              "matchday": 33,
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.4313,
              "p_target_after": 0.6124,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1192
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Sporting CP",
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "matchday": 33,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.4964,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.5036
            },
            {
              "rival": "Porto",
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "matchday": 7,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5814,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.4186
            },
            {
              "rival": "Sporting CP",
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "matchday": 16,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6104,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7178,
              "drop_uplift": 0.1074
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "7": "W",
            "14": "W",
            "31": "W",
            "33": "L"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0637,
          "n_sims_matching": 715,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 7,
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.2243,
              "p_target_after": 0.3144,
              "n_sims_remaining": 15509
            },
            {
              "matchday": 14,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.3144,
              "p_target_after": 0.3649,
              "n_sims_remaining": 9242
            },
            {
              "matchday": 31,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.3649,
              "p_target_after": 0.4313,
              "n_sims_remaining": 4479
            },
            {
              "matchday": 33,
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.4313,
              "p_target_after": 0.3151,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2269
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Porto",
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "matchday": 7,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5814,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.4186
            },
            {
              "rival": "Sporting CP",
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "matchday": 16,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6104,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.765,
              "drop_uplift": 0.1546
            },
            {
              "rival": "Porto",
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "matchday": 24,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6789,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.786,
              "drop_uplift": 0.1071
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "7": "L",
            "14": "W",
            "31": "W",
            "33": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0533,
          "n_sims_matching": 598,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 7,
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.2243,
              "p_target_after": 0.1603,
              "n_sims_remaining": 20930
            },
            {
              "matchday": 14,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.1603,
              "p_target_after": 0.1893,
              "n_sims_remaining": 12456
            },
            {
              "matchday": 31,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.1893,
              "p_target_after": 0.2437,
              "n_sims_remaining": 5897
            },
            {
              "matchday": 33,
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.2437,
              "p_target_after": 0.3871,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1545
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Sporting CP",
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "matchday": 33,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.4964,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.5036
            },
            {
              "rival": "Porto",
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "matchday": 24,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6789,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.806,
              "drop_uplift": 0.1271
            },
            {
              "rival": "Sporting CP",
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "matchday": 16,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6104,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7274,
              "drop_uplift": 0.117
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    "Porto": {
      "team": "Porto",
      "target": "champion",
      "p_current": 0.2234,
      "n_target": 11171,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.2195,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3211,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.455,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2609,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.284,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9942,
          "team_swing": 0.163
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Sporting CP",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2617,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4044,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2786,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3171,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9734,
          "team_swing": 0.1958
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Santa Clara",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 30,
          "p_win_overall": 0.6632,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7471,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1879,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.065,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.8158,
          "team_swing": 0.1149
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.5565,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6611,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2072,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.1317,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9238,
          "team_swing": 0.1175
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "24": "W",
            "29": "W",
            "30": "W",
            "34": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0799,
          "n_sims_matching": 893,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 24,
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.2234,
              "p_target_after": 0.3166,
              "n_sims_remaining": 16053
            },
            {
              "matchday": 29,
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.3166,
              "p_target_after": 0.4625,
              "n_sims_remaining": 4197
            },
            {
              "matchday": 30,
              "opponent": "Santa Clara",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.4625,
              "p_target_after": 0.5055,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2829
            },
            {
              "matchday": 34,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.5055,
              "p_target_after": 0.5746,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1554
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Sporting CP",
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "matchday": 29,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5262,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.4738
            },
            {
              "rival": "Benfica",
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "matchday": 24,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5869,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.4131
            },
            {
              "rival": "Sporting CP",
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "matchday": 12,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6313,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7368,
              "drop_uplift": 0.1055
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "24": "W",
            "29": "L",
            "30": "W",
            "34": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0785,
          "n_sims_matching": 877,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 24,
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.2234,
              "p_target_after": 0.3166,
              "n_sims_remaining": 16053
            },
            {
              "matchday": 29,
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.3166,
              "p_target_after": 0.2267,
              "n_sims_remaining": 7600
            },
            {
              "matchday": 30,
              "opponent": "Santa Clara",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.2267,
              "p_target_after": 0.2595,
              "n_sims_remaining": 5055
            },
            {
              "matchday": 34,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.2595,
              "p_target_after": 0.3063,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2863
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Benfica",
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "matchday": 24,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5869,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.4131
            },
            {
              "rival": "Sporting CP",
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "matchday": 12,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6313,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7719,
              "drop_uplift": 0.1406
            },
            {
              "rival": "Benfica",
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "matchday": 7,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6898,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7982,
              "drop_uplift": 0.1084
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "24": "W",
            "29": "D",
            "30": "W",
            "34": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0611,
          "n_sims_matching": 683,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 24,
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.2234,
              "p_target_after": 0.3166,
              "n_sims_remaining": 16053
            },
            {
              "matchday": 29,
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "D",
              "p_target_before": 0.3166,
              "p_target_after": 0.3334,
              "n_sims_remaining": 4256
            },
            {
              "matchday": 30,
              "opponent": "Santa Clara",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.3334,
              "p_target_after": 0.3695,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2793
            },
            {
              "matchday": 34,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.3695,
              "p_target_after": 0.4401,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1552
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Sporting CP",
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "matchday": 29,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5262,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.4738
            },
            {
              "rival": "Benfica",
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "matchday": 24,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5869,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.4131
            },
            {
              "rival": "Sporting CP",
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "matchday": 12,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6313,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7526,
              "drop_uplift": 0.1212
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    "Sporting CP": {
      "team": "Sporting CP",
      "target": "champion",
      "p_current": 0.5455,
      "n_target": 27277,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.1998,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Famalicao",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.6579,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.7107,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.1844,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.1049,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.8678,
          "team_swing": 0.1658
        },
        {
          "opponent": "SC Braga",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.5429,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.6065,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2108,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.1827,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.967,
          "team_swing": 0.1699
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Porto",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3687,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4469,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2721,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.281,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9918,
          "team_swing": 0.2306
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Benfica",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3896,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4735,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2415,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2849,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.998,
          "team_swing": 0.2359
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "6": "W",
            "8": "W",
            "12": "W",
            "16": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.08,
          "n_sims_matching": 2183,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 6,
              "opponent": "Famalicao",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.5455,
              "p_target_after": 0.5894,
              "n_sims_remaining": 32893
            },
            {
              "matchday": 8,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.5894,
              "p_target_after": 0.6538,
              "n_sims_remaining": 17925
            },
            {
              "matchday": 12,
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.6538,
              "p_target_after": 0.7544,
              "n_sims_remaining": 6591
            },
            {
              "matchday": 16,
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.7544,
              "p_target_after": 0.8564,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2549
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Benfica",
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "matchday": 16,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6362,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3638
            },
            {
              "rival": "Porto",
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "matchday": 12,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.644,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.356
            },
            {
              "rival": "Porto",
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "matchday": 29,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7383,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7737,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0354
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "6": "W",
            "8": "W",
            "12": "L",
            "16": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0618,
          "n_sims_matching": 1687,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 6,
              "opponent": "Famalicao",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.5455,
              "p_target_after": 0.5894,
              "n_sims_remaining": 32893
            },
            {
              "matchday": 8,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.5894,
              "p_target_after": 0.6538,
              "n_sims_remaining": 17925
            },
            {
              "matchday": 12,
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.6538,
              "p_target_after": 0.5537,
              "n_sims_remaining": 6430
            },
            {
              "matchday": 16,
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.5537,
              "p_target_after": 0.6634,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2543
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Benfica",
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "matchday": 16,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6362,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3638
            },
            {
              "rival": "Porto",
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "matchday": 29,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7383,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7913,
              "drop_uplift": 0.053
            },
            {
              "rival": "Benfica",
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "matchday": 33,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7393,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7896,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0502
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "6": "W",
            "8": "W",
            "12": "W",
            "16": "L"
          },
          "frequency": 0.058,
          "n_sims_matching": 1583,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 6,
              "opponent": "Famalicao",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.5455,
              "p_target_after": 0.5894,
              "n_sims_remaining": 32893
            },
            {
              "matchday": 8,
              "opponent": "SC Braga",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.5894,
              "p_target_after": 0.6538,
              "n_sims_remaining": 17925
            },
            {
              "matchday": 12,
              "opponent": "Porto",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.6538,
              "p_target_after": 0.7544,
              "n_sims_remaining": 6591
            },
            {
              "matchday": 16,
              "opponent": "Benfica",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.7544,
              "p_target_after": 0.6544,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2419
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Porto",
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "matchday": 12,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.644,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.356
            },
            {
              "rival": "Benfica",
              "opponent": "Sporting CP",
              "matchday": 33,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7393,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.8124,
              "drop_uplift": 0.073
            },
            {
              "rival": "Benfica",
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "matchday": 3,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.2978,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.3462,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0484
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    "Academico Viseu": {
      "team": "Academico Viseu",
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.826,
      "n_target": 41302,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.0772,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3687,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3965,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2768,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3266,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9689,
          "team_swing": 0.1233
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 20,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4092,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4391,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2727,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2883,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9893,
          "team_swing": 0.1273
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3885,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.417,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2653,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3177,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.98,
          "team_swing": 0.124
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3866,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4158,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2852,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.299,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9795,
          "team_swing": 0.1268
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "12": "W",
            "20": "W",
            "28": "W",
            "33": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.03,
          "n_sims_matching": 1240,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 12,
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.826,
              "p_target_after": 0.8885,
              "n_sims_remaining": 18434
            },
            {
              "matchday": 20,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8885,
              "p_target_after": 0.9374,
              "n_sims_remaining": 7701
            },
            {
              "matchday": 28,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9374,
              "p_target_after": 0.9691,
              "n_sims_remaining": 3071
            },
            {
              "matchday": 33,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9691,
              "p_target_after": 0.9841,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1260
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "matchday": 10,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6918,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7339,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0421
            },
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "matchday": 27,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5905,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6282,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0377
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "12": "L",
            "20": "W",
            "28": "W",
            "33": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0246,
          "n_sims_matching": 1018,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 12,
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.826,
              "p_target_after": 0.7652,
              "n_sims_remaining": 17629
            },
            {
              "matchday": 20,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.7652,
              "p_target_after": 0.8406,
              "n_sims_remaining": 7115
            },
            {
              "matchday": 28,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8406,
              "p_target_after": 0.9002,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2805
            },
            {
              "matchday": 33,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9002,
              "p_target_after": 0.9514,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1070
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": []
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "12": "W",
            "20": "W",
            "28": "L",
            "33": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0226,
          "n_sims_matching": 935,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 12,
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.826,
              "p_target_after": 0.8885,
              "n_sims_remaining": 18434
            },
            {
              "matchday": 20,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8885,
              "p_target_after": 0.9374,
              "n_sims_remaining": 7701
            },
            {
              "matchday": 28,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9374,
              "p_target_after": 0.9008,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2570
            },
            {
              "matchday": 33,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9008,
              "p_target_after": 0.9464,
              "n_sims_remaining": 988
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "matchday": 10,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6918,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7422,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0505
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    "Alverca": {
      "team": "Alverca",
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.8504,
      "n_target": 42519,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.097,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.449,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4742,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2681,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2577,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9981,
          "team_swing": 0.1128
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.389,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4137,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2857,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3006,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9784,
          "team_swing": 0.1141
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4552,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4809,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.268,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2511,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9989,
          "team_swing": 0.1103
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 33,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4011,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4275,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2608,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3117,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9848,
          "team_swing": 0.1133
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "17": "W",
            "28": "W",
            "29": "W",
            "33": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0389,
          "n_sims_matching": 1654,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 17,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8504,
              "p_target_after": 0.8982,
              "n_sims_remaining": 22449
            },
            {
              "matchday": 28,
              "opponent": "Casa Pia",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8982,
              "p_target_after": 0.94,
              "n_sims_remaining": 8711
            },
            {
              "matchday": 29,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.94,
              "p_target_after": 0.9611,
              "n_sims_remaining": 4033
            },
            {
              "matchday": 33,
              "opponent": "Estoril",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9611,
              "p_target_after": 0.981,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1686
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "matchday": 28,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6766,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3234
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "17": "W",
            "28": "W",
            "29": "W",
            "33": "L"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0291,
          "n_sims_matching": 1237,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 17,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8504,
              "p_target_after": 0.8982,
              "n_sims_remaining": 22449
            },
            {
              "matchday": 28,
              "opponent": "Casa Pia",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8982,
              "p_target_after": 0.94,
              "n_sims_remaining": 8711
            },
            {
              "matchday": 29,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.94,
              "p_target_after": 0.9611,
              "n_sims_remaining": 4033
            },
            {
              "matchday": 33,
              "opponent": "Estoril",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9611,
              "p_target_after": 0.9343,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1324
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "matchday": 28,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6766,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3234
            },
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "matchday": 7,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7256,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7575,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0319
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "17": "W",
            "28": "L",
            "29": "W",
            "33": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.029,
          "n_sims_matching": 1234,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 17,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8504,
              "p_target_after": 0.8982,
              "n_sims_remaining": 22449
            },
            {
              "matchday": 28,
              "opponent": "Casa Pia",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.8982,
              "p_target_after": 0.8503,
              "n_sims_remaining": 7275
            },
            {
              "matchday": 29,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8503,
              "p_target_after": 0.9061,
              "n_sims_remaining": 3238
            },
            {
              "matchday": 33,
              "opponent": "Estoril",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9061,
              "p_target_after": 0.9413,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1311
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Arouca",
              "matchday": 12,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7371,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7699,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0328
            },
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "matchday": 7,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7256,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7577,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0321
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    "Casa Pia": {
      "team": "Casa Pia",
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.3789,
      "n_target": 18946,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2855,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3733,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2834,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3433,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9532,
          "team_swing": 0.1887
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 13,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2757,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3643,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2739,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3618,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9462,
          "team_swing": 0.1951
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 17,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2735,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3602,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2835,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3563,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9429,
          "team_swing": 0.1971
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.2554,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3364,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2872,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3763,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9214,
          "team_swing": 0.1879
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": []
    },
    "Estoril": {
      "team": "Estoril",
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.874,
      "n_target": 43700,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.1188,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 9,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4546,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4776,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2668,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2556,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9985,
          "team_swing": 0.1028
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4384,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4602,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2582,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2816,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9954,
          "team_swing": 0.0976
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 19,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4584,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4803,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2519,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2678,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9989,
          "team_swing": 0.0967
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.5022,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.5241,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2513,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2246,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9983,
          "team_swing": 0.0968
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "9": "W",
            "16": "W",
            "19": "W",
            "34": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0529,
          "n_sims_matching": 2311,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 9,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.874,
              "p_target_after": 0.9182,
              "n_sims_remaining": 22728
            },
            {
              "matchday": 16,
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9182,
              "p_target_after": 0.9477,
              "n_sims_remaining": 10043
            },
            {
              "matchday": 19,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9477,
              "p_target_after": 0.9703,
              "n_sims_remaining": 4648
            },
            {
              "matchday": 34,
              "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9703,
              "p_target_after": 0.9859,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2344
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": []
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "9": "W",
            "16": "L",
            "19": "W",
            "34": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0345,
          "n_sims_matching": 1509,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 9,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.874,
              "p_target_after": 0.9182,
              "n_sims_remaining": 22728
            },
            {
              "matchday": 16,
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9182,
              "p_target_after": 0.8803,
              "n_sims_remaining": 6816
            },
            {
              "matchday": 19,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8803,
              "p_target_after": 0.9199,
              "n_sims_remaining": 3122
            },
            {
              "matchday": 34,
              "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9199,
              "p_target_after": 0.9479,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1592
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": []
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "9": "W",
            "16": "W",
            "19": "L",
            "34": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0314,
          "n_sims_matching": 1372,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 9,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.874,
              "p_target_after": 0.9182,
              "n_sims_remaining": 22728
            },
            {
              "matchday": 16,
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9182,
              "p_target_after": 0.9477,
              "n_sims_remaining": 10043
            },
            {
              "matchday": 19,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9477,
              "p_target_after": 0.9122,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2869
            },
            {
              "matchday": 34,
              "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9122,
              "p_target_after": 0.9469,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1449
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "matchday": 27,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5905,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6305,
              "drop_uplift": 0.04
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    "Estrela Amadora": {
      "team": "Estrela Amadora",
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.833,
      "n_target": 41650,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.0659,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 7,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3864,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4149,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2807,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3044,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.979,
          "team_swing": 0.1244
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 15,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3843,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4102,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2804,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3095,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9766,
          "team_swing": 0.1163
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3603,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3888,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.278,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3333,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.964,
          "team_swing": 0.1241
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3631,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3901,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2948,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3151,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9649,
          "team_swing": 0.1251
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "7": "W",
            "15": "W",
            "21": "W",
            "27": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.023,
          "n_sims_matching": 958,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 7,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.833,
              "p_target_after": 0.8945,
              "n_sims_remaining": 19318
            },
            {
              "matchday": 15,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8945,
              "p_target_after": 0.9339,
              "n_sims_remaining": 7475
            },
            {
              "matchday": 21,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9339,
              "p_target_after": 0.9724,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2684
            },
            {
              "matchday": 27,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9724,
              "p_target_after": 0.9866,
              "n_sims_remaining": 971
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
              "matchday": 26,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6231,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6618,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0387
            },
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Rio Ave",
              "matchday": 30,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.629,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6597,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0307
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "7": "W",
            "15": "W",
            "21": "L",
            "27": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0215,
          "n_sims_matching": 896,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 7,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.833,
              "p_target_after": 0.8945,
              "n_sims_remaining": 19318
            },
            {
              "matchday": 15,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8945,
              "p_target_after": 0.9339,
              "n_sims_remaining": 7475
            },
            {
              "matchday": 21,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9339,
              "p_target_after": 0.9029,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2709
            },
            {
              "matchday": 27,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9029,
              "p_target_after": 0.9532,
              "n_sims_remaining": 940
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Santa Clara",
              "matchday": 8,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7281,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7645,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0364
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "7": "W",
            "15": "W",
            "21": "W",
            "27": "L"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0214,
          "n_sims_matching": 891,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 7,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.833,
              "p_target_after": 0.8945,
              "n_sims_remaining": 19318
            },
            {
              "matchday": 15,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8945,
              "p_target_after": 0.9339,
              "n_sims_remaining": 7475
            },
            {
              "matchday": 21,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9339,
              "p_target_after": 0.9724,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2684
            },
            {
              "matchday": 27,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9724,
              "p_target_after": 0.9591,
              "n_sims_remaining": 929
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "matchday": 31,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5959,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6308,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0348
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    "Maritimo": {
      "team": "Maritimo",
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.8579,
      "n_target": 42894,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.0683,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 12,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3864,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4108,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2714,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3179,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9769,
          "team_swing": 0.1147
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 18,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3573,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3828,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2832,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.334,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.96,
          "team_swing": 0.1202
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Moreirense",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 23,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3896,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.415,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2814,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3036,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.979,
          "team_swing": 0.1109
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estoril",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 28,
          "p_win_overall": 0.358,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3827,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2591,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3583,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9599,
          "team_swing": 0.1078
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "12": "W",
            "18": "L",
            "23": "W",
            "28": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0232,
          "n_sims_matching": 993,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 12,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8579,
              "p_target_after": 0.9121,
              "n_sims_remaining": 19318
            },
            {
              "matchday": 18,
              "opponent": "Casa Pia",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9121,
              "p_target_after": 0.8731,
              "n_sims_remaining": 6950
            },
            {
              "matchday": 23,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8731,
              "p_target_after": 0.9307,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2772
            },
            {
              "matchday": 28,
              "opponent": "Estoril",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9307,
              "p_target_after": 0.9669,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1027
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": []
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "12": "W",
            "18": "W",
            "23": "W",
            "28": "L"
          },
          "frequency": 0.023,
          "n_sims_matching": 985,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 12,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8579,
              "p_target_after": 0.9121,
              "n_sims_remaining": 19318
            },
            {
              "matchday": 18,
              "opponent": "Casa Pia",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9121,
              "p_target_after": 0.9531,
              "n_sims_remaining": 6862
            },
            {
              "matchday": 23,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9531,
              "p_target_after": 0.9798,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2679
            },
            {
              "matchday": 28,
              "opponent": "Estoril",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9798,
              "p_target_after": 0.9724,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1013
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "matchday": 18,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6413,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3587
            },
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Casa Pia",
              "matchday": 30,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6536,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6934,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0398
            },
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "matchday": 14,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6657,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6975,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0318
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "12": "W",
            "18": "W",
            "23": "W",
            "28": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0221,
          "n_sims_matching": 948,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 12,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8579,
              "p_target_after": 0.9121,
              "n_sims_remaining": 19318
            },
            {
              "matchday": 18,
              "opponent": "Casa Pia",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9121,
              "p_target_after": 0.9531,
              "n_sims_remaining": 6862
            },
            {
              "matchday": 23,
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9531,
              "p_target_after": 0.9798,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2679
            },
            {
              "matchday": 28,
              "opponent": "Estoril",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9798,
              "p_target_after": 0.9875,
              "n_sims_remaining": 960
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "matchday": 18,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6413,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3587
            },
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "matchday": 14,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6908,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7289,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0381
            },
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "matchday": 31,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5959,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6287,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0328
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    "Moreirense": {
      "team": "Moreirense",
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.8781,
      "n_target": 43906,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.0879,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 6,
          "p_win_overall": 0.422,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4438,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2805,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2757,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9909,
          "team_swing": 0.0984
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 16,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4238,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.445,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2835,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2715,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9913,
          "team_swing": 0.0997
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 32,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3993,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4202,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2755,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3043,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9816,
          "team_swing": 0.093
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Rio Ave",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 34,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4335,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4555,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2742,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2703,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9943,
          "team_swing": 0.1024
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "6": "W",
            "16": "W",
            "32": "W",
            "34": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0357,
          "n_sims_matching": 1566,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 6,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8781,
              "p_target_after": 0.9236,
              "n_sims_remaining": 21099
            },
            {
              "matchday": 16,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9236,
              "p_target_after": 0.9556,
              "n_sims_remaining": 9014
            },
            {
              "matchday": 32,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9556,
              "p_target_after": 0.977,
              "n_sims_remaining": 3603
            },
            {
              "matchday": 34,
              "opponent": "Rio Ave",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.977,
              "p_target_after": 0.9868,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1587
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "matchday": 34,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7107,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.2893
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "6": "W",
            "16": "W",
            "32": "L",
            "34": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0275,
          "n_sims_matching": 1208,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 6,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8781,
              "p_target_after": 0.9236,
              "n_sims_remaining": 21099
            },
            {
              "matchday": 16,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9236,
              "p_target_after": 0.9556,
              "n_sims_remaining": 9014
            },
            {
              "matchday": 32,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9556,
              "p_target_after": 0.9306,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2925
            },
            {
              "matchday": 34,
              "opponent": "Rio Ave",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9306,
              "p_target_after": 0.9618,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1256
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "matchday": 34,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7107,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.2893
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "6": "W",
            "16": "W",
            "32": "D",
            "34": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0247,
          "n_sims_matching": 1084,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 6,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8781,
              "p_target_after": 0.9236,
              "n_sims_remaining": 21099
            },
            {
              "matchday": 16,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9236,
              "p_target_after": 0.9556,
              "n_sims_remaining": 9014
            },
            {
              "matchday": 32,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "D",
              "p_target_before": 0.9556,
              "p_target_after": 0.9541,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2486
            },
            {
              "matchday": 34,
              "opponent": "Rio Ave",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9541,
              "p_target_after": 0.9766,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1110
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Moreirense",
              "matchday": 34,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7107,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.2893
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    "Nacional": {
      "team": "Nacional",
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.8614,
      "n_target": 43070,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.0893,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 11,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4484,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.473,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2567,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2702,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9979,
          "team_swing": 0.1058
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Casa Pia",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 14,
          "p_win_overall": 0.384,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4088,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2794,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3117,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9759,
          "team_swing": 0.1139
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
          "venue": "A",
          "matchday": 21,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3584,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.3808,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2802,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.339,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9586,
          "team_swing": 0.1051
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 29,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4419,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4668,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2636,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2696,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9968,
          "team_swing": 0.1078
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "11": "W",
            "14": "W",
            "21": "W",
            "29": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0329,
          "n_sims_matching": 1415,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 11,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8614,
              "p_target_after": 0.9088,
              "n_sims_remaining": 22418
            },
            {
              "matchday": 14,
              "opponent": "Casa Pia",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9088,
              "p_target_after": 0.9507,
              "n_sims_remaining": 8578
            },
            {
              "matchday": 21,
              "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9507,
              "p_target_after": 0.9738,
              "n_sims_remaining": 3134
            },
            {
              "matchday": 29,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9738,
              "p_target_after": 0.9888,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1431
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "matchday": 14,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6657,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3343
            },
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "matchday": 8,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6123,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6424,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0301
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "11": "W",
            "14": "W",
            "21": "L",
            "29": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0299,
          "n_sims_matching": 1289,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 11,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8614,
              "p_target_after": 0.9088,
              "n_sims_remaining": 22418
            },
            {
              "matchday": 14,
              "opponent": "Casa Pia",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9088,
              "p_target_after": 0.9507,
              "n_sims_remaining": 8578
            },
            {
              "matchday": 21,
              "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9507,
              "p_target_after": 0.926,
              "n_sims_remaining": 3083
            },
            {
              "matchday": 29,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.926,
              "p_target_after": 0.9485,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1359
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "matchday": 14,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6657,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3343
            },
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Santa Clara",
              "matchday": 22,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6935,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.7292,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0357
            },
            {
              "rival": "Rio Ave",
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "matchday": 8,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6123,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.647,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0347
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "11": "W",
            "14": "L",
            "21": "W",
            "29": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0265,
          "n_sims_matching": 1143,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 11,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8614,
              "p_target_after": 0.9088,
              "n_sims_remaining": 22418
            },
            {
              "matchday": 14,
              "opponent": "Casa Pia",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.9088,
              "p_target_after": 0.8646,
              "n_sims_remaining": 7550
            },
            {
              "matchday": 21,
              "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
              "venue": "A",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8646,
              "p_target_after": 0.9203,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2673
            },
            {
              "matchday": 29,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9203,
              "p_target_after": 0.9662,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1183
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": []
        }
      ]
    },
    "Rio Ave": {
      "team": "Rio Ave",
      "target": "survival",
      "p_current": 0.7363,
      "n_target": 36816,
      "n_sims": 50000,
      "scenario_coverage": 0.0867,
      "story_matches": [
        {
          "opponent": "Nacional",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 8,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3877,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4288,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2577,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3136,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9853,
          "team_swing": 0.1525
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Alverca",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 24,
          "p_win_overall": 0.3699,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4103,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2697,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.3199,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9767,
          "team_swing": 0.1551
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 27,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4095,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4519,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2617,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2864,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9933,
          "team_swing": 0.1602
        },
        {
          "opponent": "Maritimo",
          "venue": "H",
          "matchday": 31,
          "p_win_overall": 0.4041,
          "p_win_given_target": 0.4453,
          "p_draw_given_target": 0.2669,
          "p_loss_given_target": 0.2878,
          "within_target_entropy": 0.9913,
          "team_swing": 0.1561
        }
      ],
      "scenarios": [
        {
          "label": "comfortable",
          "results": {
            "8": "W",
            "24": "W",
            "27": "W",
            "31": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0326,
          "n_sims_matching": 1201,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 8,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.7363,
              "p_target_after": 0.8142,
              "n_sims_remaining": 19386
            },
            {
              "matchday": 24,
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8142,
              "p_target_after": 0.8843,
              "n_sims_remaining": 7237
            },
            {
              "matchday": 27,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8843,
              "p_target_after": 0.9313,
              "n_sims_remaining": 3011
            },
            {
              "matchday": 31,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.9313,
              "p_target_after": 0.9639,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1246
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Academico Viseu",
              "opponent": "Rio Ave",
              "matchday": 27,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6767,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3233
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "8": "W",
            "24": "L",
            "27": "W",
            "31": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0275,
          "n_sims_matching": 1012,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 8,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.7363,
              "p_target_after": 0.8142,
              "n_sims_remaining": 19386
            },
            {
              "matchday": 24,
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.8142,
              "p_target_after": 0.7511,
              "n_sims_remaining": 6881
            },
            {
              "matchday": 27,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.7511,
              "p_target_after": 0.8244,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2802
            },
            {
              "matchday": 31,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8244,
              "p_target_after": 0.88,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1150
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Academico Viseu",
              "opponent": "Rio Ave",
              "matchday": 27,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6767,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3233
            },
            {
              "rival": "Casa Pia",
              "opponent": "Rio Ave",
              "matchday": 30,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.629,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6828,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0538
            },
            {
              "rival": "Academico Viseu",
              "opponent": "Rio Ave",
              "matchday": 10,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5789,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.6285,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0496
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "realistic",
          "results": {
            "8": "L",
            "24": "W",
            "27": "W",
            "31": "W"
          },
          "frequency": 0.0266,
          "n_sims_matching": 979,
          "steps": [
            {
              "matchday": 8,
              "opponent": "Nacional",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "L",
              "p_target_before": 0.7363,
              "p_target_after": 0.6617,
              "n_sims_remaining": 17446
            },
            {
              "matchday": 24,
              "opponent": "Alverca",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.6617,
              "p_target_after": 0.7504,
              "n_sims_remaining": 6450
            },
            {
              "matchday": 27,
              "opponent": "Academico Viseu",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.7504,
              "p_target_after": 0.8265,
              "n_sims_remaining": 2737
            },
            {
              "matchday": 31,
              "opponent": "Maritimo",
              "venue": "H",
              "result": "W",
              "p_target_before": 0.8265,
              "p_target_after": 0.8852,
              "n_sims_remaining": 1106
            }
          ],
          "rival_conditions": [
            {
              "rival": "Academico Viseu",
              "opponent": "Rio Ave",
              "matchday": 27,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.6767,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 1.0,
              "drop_uplift": 0.3233
            },
            {
              "rival": "Academico Viseu",
              "opponent": "Rio Ave",
              "matchday": 10,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.5789,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.62,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0412
            },
            {
              "rival": "Academico Viseu",
              "opponent": "Vitoria SC",
              "matchday": 23,
              "p_rival_drops_baseline": 0.7818,
              "p_rival_drops_in_scenario": 0.8182,
              "drop_uplift": 0.0364
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "next_matchday_scenarios": {
    "matchday": 2,
    "matchdays": [
      2,
      3,
      5,
      6
    ],
    "baseline": {
      "Academico Viseu": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0,
        "p_relegation": 0.174
      },
      "Alverca": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0,
        "p_relegation": 0.1496
      },
      "Arouca": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.001,
        "p_relegation": 0.0159
      },
      "Benfica": {
        "p_champion": 0.2243,
        "p_top3": 0.9295,
        "p_relegation": 0.0
      },
      "Casa Pia": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0,
        "p_relegation": 0.6211
      },
      "Estoril": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0001,
        "p_relegation": 0.126
      },
      "Estrela Amadora": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0001,
        "p_relegation": 0.167
      },
      "Famalicao": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0004,
        "p_relegation": 0.0361
      },
      "Gil Vicente": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0009,
        "p_relegation": 0.0188
      },
      "Maritimo": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0001,
        "p_relegation": 0.1421
      },
      "Moreirense": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0,
        "p_relegation": 0.1219
      },
      "Nacional": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0,
        "p_relegation": 0.1386
      },
      "Porto": {
        "p_champion": 0.2234,
        "p_top3": 0.929,
        "p_relegation": 0.0
      },
      "Rio Ave": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0,
        "p_relegation": 0.2637
      },
      "SC Braga": {
        "p_champion": 0.0067,
        "p_top3": 0.1532,
        "p_relegation": 0.0
      },
      "Santa Clara": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0022,
        "p_relegation": 0.0053
      },
      "Sporting CP": {
        "p_champion": 0.5455,
        "p_top3": 0.9828,
        "p_relegation": 0.0
      },
      "Vitoria SC": {
        "p_champion": 0.0,
        "p_top3": 0.0006,
        "p_relegation": 0.0199
      }
    },
    "matches": [
      {
        "home_team": "SC Braga",
        "away_team": "Gil Vicente",
        "matchday": 2,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 29115,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1775
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1481
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0155
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2237,
                "p_top3": 0.9187,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6223
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.122
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1639
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.0353
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0233
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1454
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1202
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1372
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2254,
                "p_top3": 0.9182,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2628
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0082,
                "p_top3": 0.179,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0023,
                "p_relegation": 0.0054
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5426,
                "p_top3": 0.9793,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.021
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9295,
                "conditional": 0.9187,
                "delta": -0.0108
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.929,
                "conditional": 0.9182,
                "delta": -0.0108
              },
              {
                "team": "Estoril",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.126,
                "conditional": 0.122,
                "delta": -0.004
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 11878,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.169
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1522
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0013,
                "p_relegation": 0.016
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2234,
                "p_top3": 0.941,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6157
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1323
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1717
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.0366
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0168
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1362
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1194
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1449
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2175,
                "p_top3": 0.9383,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2641
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0051,
                "p_top3": 0.1288,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0019,
                "p_relegation": 0.0057
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.554,
                "p_top3": 0.9866,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0194
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9295,
                "conditional": 0.941,
                "delta": 0.0115
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.929,
                "conditional": 0.9383,
                "delta": 0.0092
              },
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.554,
                "delta": 0.0084
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 9007,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1691
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1511
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0012,
                "p_relegation": 0.017
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2276,
                "p_top3": 0.9494,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6242
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1307
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.171
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0381
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0019,
                "p_relegation": 0.0069
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1393
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1305
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1347
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2247,
                "p_top3": 0.9518,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.2661
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0038,
                "p_top3": 0.1021,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0022,
                "p_relegation": 0.0046
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5438,
                "p_top3": 0.9893,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0169
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.929,
                "conditional": 0.9518,
                "delta": 0.0228
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9295,
                "conditional": 0.9494,
                "delta": 0.0199
              },
              {
                "team": "Moreirense",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1219,
                "conditional": 0.1305,
                "delta": 0.0086
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Moreirense",
        "away_team": "Benfica",
        "matchday": 3,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 5657,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1771
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1612
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0019,
                "p_relegation": 0.0152
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.1402,
                "p_top3": 0.8883,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6383
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1273
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1697
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0371
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0018,
                "p_relegation": 0.0198
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.1501
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0002,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0612
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1437
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2401,
                "p_top3": 0.933,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2736
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0081,
                "p_top3": 0.1824,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0023,
                "p_relegation": 0.0046
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.6115,
                "p_top3": 0.9876,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.021
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.6115,
                "delta": 0.0659
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1824,
                "delta": 0.0292
              },
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6383,
                "delta": 0.0172
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 9233,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1778
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1546
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0018,
                "p_relegation": 0.0158
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.1771,
                "p_top3": 0.9077,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6238
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1296
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1657
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.0371
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0198
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1414
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.0987
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1348
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2397,
                "p_top3": 0.936,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.274
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0075,
                "p_top3": 0.1676,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0016,
                "p_relegation": 0.0054
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5757,
                "p_top3": 0.9832,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0212
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.5757,
                "delta": 0.0301
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.2397,
                "delta": 0.0163
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1676,
                "delta": 0.0143
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 35110,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1724
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1465
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.016
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2503,
                "p_top3": 0.9419,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6176
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1248
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1669
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0357
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0183
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.141
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1378
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1388
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2165,
                "p_top3": 0.9266,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2594
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0062,
                "p_top3": 0.1447,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0023,
                "p_relegation": 0.0054
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.527,
                "p_top3": 0.9819,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0194
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.527,
                "delta": -0.0185
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1447,
                "delta": -0.0085
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.2165,
                "delta": -0.007
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Estrela Amadora",
        "away_team": "SC Braga",
        "matchday": 3,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 8715,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1773
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1603
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0022,
                "p_relegation": 0.0187
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.229,
                "p_top3": 0.9528,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6352
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1262
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0971
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0397
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0188
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1523
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1245
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1489
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2305,
                "p_top3": 0.9541,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2717
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0023,
                "p_top3": 0.098,
                "p_relegation": 0.0001
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0031,
                "p_relegation": 0.0062
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.538,
                "p_top3": 0.9878,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0229
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.929,
                "conditional": 0.9541,
                "delta": 0.0251
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9295,
                "conditional": 0.9528,
                "delta": 0.0233
              },
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6352,
                "delta": 0.0141
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 11528,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1764
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1463
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.016
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2216,
                "p_top3": 0.9433,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6267
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1291
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1535
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0372
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0196
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1395
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1234
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1435
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2227,
                "p_top3": 0.9421,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.266
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0046,
                "p_top3": 0.124,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0022,
                "p_relegation": 0.005
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.551,
                "p_top3": 0.9847,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0013,
                "p_relegation": 0.0177
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9295,
                "conditional": 0.9433,
                "delta": 0.0138
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.929,
                "conditional": 0.9421,
                "delta": 0.013
              },
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6267,
                "delta": 0.0057
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 29757,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.172
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1478
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.015
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.224,
                "p_top3": 0.9173,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6147
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1247
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1927
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0347
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0184
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1402
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1205
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1337
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2216,
                "p_top3": 0.9167,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.2604
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0087,
                "p_top3": 0.1807,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0019,
                "p_relegation": 0.0052
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5456,
                "p_top3": 0.9806,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.0199
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.929,
                "conditional": 0.9167,
                "delta": -0.0124
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9295,
                "conditional": 0.9173,
                "delta": -0.0122
              },
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6147,
                "delta": -0.0063
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Estoril",
        "away_team": "Arouca",
        "matchday": 5,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 21665,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1753
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1545
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0232
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2214,
                "p_top3": 0.9285,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6237
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.0847
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1732
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0361
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0012,
                "p_relegation": 0.0187
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1471
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1244
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1433
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2243,
                "p_top3": 0.9281,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2704
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0071,
                "p_top3": 0.1544,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0022,
                "p_relegation": 0.0054
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5472,
                "p_top3": 0.9836,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0199
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Rio Ave",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.2637,
                "conditional": 0.2704,
                "delta": 0.0067
              },
              {
                "team": "Estrela Amadora",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.167,
                "conditional": 0.1732,
                "delta": 0.0062
              },
              {
                "team": "Maritimo",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1421,
                "conditional": 0.1471,
                "delta": 0.005
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 12648,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1754
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1501
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0142
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.226,
                "p_top3": 0.9288,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6177
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1351
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1629
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.0363
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0188
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1388
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1219
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1395
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2267,
                "p_top3": 0.9261,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.263
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0066,
                "p_top3": 0.1583,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0023,
                "p_relegation": 0.0054
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5406,
                "p_top3": 0.9818,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0209
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1583,
                "delta": 0.0051
              },
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.5406,
                "delta": -0.005
              },
              {
                "team": "Estrela Amadora",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.167,
                "conditional": 0.1629,
                "delta": -0.0041
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 15687,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.171
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1425
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0018,
                "p_relegation": 0.0072
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2269,
                "p_top3": 0.9313,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6202
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1757
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1617
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.0361
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0189
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1379
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1183
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1313
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2195,
                "p_top3": 0.9327,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.255
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0061,
                "p_top3": 0.1476,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0021,
                "p_relegation": 0.0051
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5473,
                "p_top3": 0.9825,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0191
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Rio Ave",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.2637,
                "conditional": 0.255,
                "delta": -0.0087
              },
              {
                "team": "Nacional",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1386,
                "conditional": 0.1313,
                "delta": -0.0073
              },
              {
                "team": "Alverca",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1496,
                "conditional": 0.1425,
                "delta": -0.0071
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Academico Viseu",
        "away_team": "Vitoria SC",
        "matchday": 6,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 14775,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1107
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1545
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0162
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2288,
                "p_top3": 0.9332,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.625
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.135
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1773
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.0379
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0013,
                "p_relegation": 0.0194
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1509
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.125
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1424
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2214,
                "p_top3": 0.9279,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.2669
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0068,
                "p_top3": 0.1519,
                "p_relegation": 0.0001
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0018,
                "p_relegation": 0.0049
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5429,
                "p_top3": 0.9818,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.0338
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Estrela Amadora",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.167,
                "conditional": 0.1773,
                "delta": 0.0103
              },
              {
                "team": "Estoril",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.126,
                "conditional": 0.135,
                "delta": 0.009
              },
              {
                "team": "Maritimo",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1421,
                "conditional": 0.1509,
                "delta": 0.0087
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 13950,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1699
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1506
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0011,
                "p_relegation": 0.0166
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2254,
                "p_top3": 0.9289,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6261
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1237
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1673
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0361
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0184
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1428
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1227
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1389
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2238,
                "p_top3": 0.9271,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2605
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.007,
                "p_top3": 0.1564,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0027,
                "p_relegation": 0.005
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5437,
                "p_top3": 0.9823,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.0215
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6261,
                "delta": 0.005
              },
              {
                "team": "Rio Ave",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.2637,
                "conditional": 0.2605,
                "delta": -0.0032
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1564,
                "delta": 0.0032
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 21275,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2205
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1456
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0152
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2204,
                "p_top3": 0.9273,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6151
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1212
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1597
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0349
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0187
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1356
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1192
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1358
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2246,
                "p_top3": 0.9311,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2635
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0063,
                "p_top3": 0.152,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0021,
                "p_relegation": 0.0058
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5486,
                "p_top3": 0.9839,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0092
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Estrela Amadora",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.167,
                "conditional": 0.1597,
                "delta": -0.0073
              },
              {
                "team": "Maritimo",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1421,
                "conditional": 0.1356,
                "delta": -0.0065
              },
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6151,
                "delta": -0.006
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Arouca",
        "away_team": "Santa Clara",
        "matchday": 6,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 18037,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1736
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1496
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0018,
                "p_relegation": 0.0068
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2266,
                "p_top3": 0.9283,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6192
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1252
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1669
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.0366
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0191
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1439
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1257
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1393
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2245,
                "p_top3": 0.9276,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.2648
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.007,
                "p_top3": 0.1571,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0084
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5418,
                "p_top3": 0.9825,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0208
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Moreirense",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1219,
                "conditional": 0.1257,
                "delta": 0.0038
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1571,
                "delta": 0.0038
              },
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.5418,
                "delta": -0.0038
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 14963,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1717
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.151
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.017
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2217,
                "p_top3": 0.9326,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6268
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1235
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1671
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0365
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0174
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1443
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1198
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1406
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2251,
                "p_top3": 0.9322,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.26
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0065,
                "p_top3": 0.1484,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0017,
                "p_relegation": 0.0051
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5465,
                "p_top3": 0.9822,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0192
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6268,
                "delta": 0.0057
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1484,
                "delta": -0.0049
              },
              {
                "team": "Rio Ave",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.2637,
                "conditional": 0.26,
                "delta": -0.0036
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 17000,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1763
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1484
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0246
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2241,
                "p_top3": 0.9281,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.618
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1291
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1671
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0353
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0196
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1383
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1197
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1361
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2208,
                "p_top3": 0.9278,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.2657
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0064,
                "p_top3": 0.1534,
                "p_relegation": 0.0001
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0039,
                "p_relegation": 0.0022
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5486,
                "p_top3": 0.9837,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0196
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Maritimo",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1421,
                "conditional": 0.1383,
                "delta": -0.0038
              },
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.618,
                "delta": -0.0031
              },
              {
                "team": "Estoril",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.126,
                "conditional": 0.1291,
                "delta": 0.0031
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "SC Braga",
        "away_team": "Estoril",
        "matchday": 6,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 31989,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1737
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1466
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0162
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2232,
                "p_top3": 0.9189,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.619
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1444
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1656
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.035
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0186
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.138
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1192
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1362
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2232,
                "p_top3": 0.9186,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2633
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0085,
                "p_top3": 0.1772,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0023,
                "p_relegation": 0.0053
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5452,
                "p_top3": 0.9801,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0189
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9295,
                "conditional": 0.9189,
                "delta": -0.0106
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.929,
                "conditional": 0.9186,
                "delta": -0.0104
              },
              {
                "team": "Maritimo",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1421,
                "conditional": 0.138,
                "delta": -0.0041
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 10095,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1731
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1526
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0011,
                "p_relegation": 0.0153
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2257,
                "p_top3": 0.9434,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6171
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1135
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1681
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.037
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0014,
                "p_relegation": 0.0194
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1472
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1254
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1444
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2213,
                "p_top3": 0.9435,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2601
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0034,
                "p_top3": 0.1206,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0018,
                "p_relegation": 0.0052
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5496,
                "p_top3": 0.9866,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0215
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.929,
                "conditional": 0.9435,
                "delta": 0.0145
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9295,
                "conditional": 0.9434,
                "delta": 0.0139
              },
              {
                "team": "Nacional",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1386,
                "conditional": 0.1444,
                "delta": 0.0058
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 7916,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1762
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1582
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0013,
                "p_relegation": 0.0154
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2273,
                "p_top3": 0.9544,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6345
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0676
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1714
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0395
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0186
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1521
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1283
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.141
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2271,
                "p_top3": 0.9526,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.2696
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0035,
                "p_top3": 0.0982,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0021,
                "p_relegation": 0.0058
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5419,
                "p_top3": 0.9889,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0217
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9295,
                "conditional": 0.9544,
                "delta": 0.0249
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.929,
                "conditional": 0.9526,
                "delta": 0.0236
              },
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6345,
                "delta": 0.0135
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Casa Pia",
        "away_team": "Porto",
        "matchday": 6,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 4294,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1865
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1628
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0002,
                "p_top3": 0.0012,
                "p_relegation": 0.0189
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2629,
                "p_top3": 0.9401,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.4816
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1428
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1793
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0403
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0016,
                "p_relegation": 0.0191
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1588
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1416
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1532
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.1446,
                "p_top3": 0.8815,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.289
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.007,
                "p_top3": 0.1889,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0047,
                "p_relegation": 0.0049
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5852,
                "p_top3": 0.9811,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.0212
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.5852,
                "delta": 0.0397
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2243,
                "conditional": 0.2629,
                "delta": 0.0386
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1889,
                "delta": 0.0356
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 9484,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1795
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1574
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0015,
                "p_relegation": 0.0174
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2416,
                "p_top3": 0.9272,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.5796
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.1284
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1745
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0366
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0012,
                "p_relegation": 0.0189
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1409
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1267
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1357
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.1689,
                "p_top3": 0.909,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.2769
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0072,
                "p_top3": 0.1711,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0027,
                "p_relegation": 0.0062
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5822,
                "p_top3": 0.9846,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0012,
                "p_relegation": 0.0213
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.5822,
                "delta": 0.0367
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1711,
                "delta": 0.0179
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2243,
                "conditional": 0.2416,
                "delta": 0.0172
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 36222,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.171
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.146
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0152
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2152,
                "p_top3": 0.9288,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6485
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1234
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1636
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.0355
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0187
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1405
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1183
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1376
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.247,
                "p_top3": 0.9399,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2572
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0065,
                "p_top3": 0.1443,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0017,
                "p_relegation": 0.0051
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5312,
                "p_top3": 0.9826,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0194
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.5312,
                "delta": -0.0143
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2243,
                "conditional": 0.2152,
                "delta": -0.0091
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1443,
                "delta": -0.0089
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Moreirense",
        "away_team": "Maritimo",
        "matchday": 6,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 21099,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1749
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1504
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0012,
                "p_relegation": 0.0156
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2242,
                "p_top3": 0.9294,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.622
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1276
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1675
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.0355
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0185
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1865
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0764
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.136
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2247,
                "p_top3": 0.9297,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2623
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0065,
                "p_top3": 0.1508,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0021,
                "p_relegation": 0.0057
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5445,
                "p_top3": 0.9846,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0209
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Nacional",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1386,
                "conditional": 0.136,
                "delta": -0.0026
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1508,
                "delta": -0.0025
              },
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9828,
                "conditional": 0.9846,
                "delta": 0.0018
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 14235,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.173
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1538
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0157
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2214,
                "p_top3": 0.9307,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6166
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.121
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1651
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0367
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0181
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1392
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1348
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1369
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2221,
                "p_top3": 0.9286,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.2639
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0065,
                "p_top3": 0.1538,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0025,
                "p_relegation": 0.006
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.55,
                "p_top3": 0.9813,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0191
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Estoril",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.126,
                "conditional": 0.121,
                "delta": -0.005
              },
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6166,
                "delta": -0.0045
              },
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.55,
                "delta": 0.0044
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 14666,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1736
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1443
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0164
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2274,
                "p_top3": 0.9284,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6241
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1285
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1681
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0365
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0199
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.081
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1748
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.144
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2229,
                "p_top3": 0.9286,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2654
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.007,
                "p_top3": 0.1562,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0019,
                "p_relegation": 0.0041
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5427,
                "p_top3": 0.9817,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0192
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Nacional",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1386,
                "conditional": 0.144,
                "delta": 0.0054
              },
              {
                "team": "Alverca",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1496,
                "conditional": 0.1443,
                "delta": -0.0053
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2243,
                "conditional": 0.2274,
                "delta": 0.0031
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Nacional",
        "away_team": "Alverca",
        "matchday": 6,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 20047,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1769
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1959
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0152
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2239,
                "p_top3": 0.9315,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6219
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.126
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1702
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0354
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.019
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1398
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1208
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.0904
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2264,
                "p_top3": 0.9284,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2625
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0064,
                "p_top3": 0.1518,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0017,
                "p_relegation": 0.0053
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5434,
                "p_top3": 0.9835,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0206
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Estrela Amadora",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.167,
                "conditional": 0.1702,
                "delta": 0.0032
              },
              {
                "team": "Academico Viseu",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.174,
                "conditional": 0.1769,
                "delta": 0.003
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.2264,
                "delta": 0.0029
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 13529,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1716
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1535
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0176
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2261,
                "p_top3": 0.9253,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6162
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1251
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1668
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0383
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0166
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1383
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1206
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1489
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2216,
                "p_top3": 0.9315,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2607
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0067,
                "p_top3": 0.1553,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0027,
                "p_relegation": 0.0055
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5455,
                "p_top3": 0.982,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0203
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6162,
                "delta": -0.0049
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.9295,
                "conditional": 0.9253,
                "delta": -0.0042
              },
              {
                "team": "Maritimo",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1421,
                "conditional": 0.1383,
                "delta": -0.0038
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 16424,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1723
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.0899
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0012,
                "p_relegation": 0.0154
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2234,
                "p_top3": 0.9305,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6241
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1267
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1632
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0003,
                "p_relegation": 0.0353
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0203
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1481
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1242
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1889
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2213,
                "p_top3": 0.9278,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.2675
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.007,
                "p_top3": 0.1533,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0023,
                "p_relegation": 0.0052
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5482,
                "p_top3": 0.9827,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0187
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Maritimo",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1421,
                "conditional": 0.1481,
                "delta": 0.006
              },
              {
                "team": "Rio Ave",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.2637,
                "conditional": 0.2675,
                "delta": 0.0039
              },
              {
                "team": "Estrela Amadora",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.167,
                "conditional": 0.1632,
                "delta": -0.0038
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Rio Ave",
        "away_team": "Estrela Amadora",
        "matchday": 6,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 21211,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1748
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1504
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.001,
                "p_relegation": 0.0166
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2237,
                "p_top3": 0.9306,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6237
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.129
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2182
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.0377
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0194
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1477
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.123
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1401
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2235,
                "p_top3": 0.9285,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1933
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0067,
                "p_top3": 0.1528,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.002,
                "p_relegation": 0.0065
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5461,
                "p_top3": 0.9829,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0194
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Maritimo",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1421,
                "conditional": 0.1477,
                "delta": 0.0056
              },
              {
                "team": "Estoril",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.126,
                "conditional": 0.129,
                "delta": 0.003
              },
              {
                "team": "Casa Pia",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.6211,
                "conditional": 0.6237,
                "delta": 0.0027
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 13726,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1785
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1471
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0014,
                "p_relegation": 0.0159
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2246,
                "p_top3": 0.9271,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6209
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1183
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.161
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0356
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.0203
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1365
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1247
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1338
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2183,
                "p_top3": 0.931,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2822
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0068,
                "p_top3": 0.1531,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0025,
                "p_relegation": 0.0042
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5501,
                "p_top3": 0.983,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.021
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Estoril",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.126,
                "conditional": 0.1183,
                "delta": -0.0077
              },
              {
                "team": "Maritimo",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.1421,
                "conditional": 0.1365,
                "delta": -0.0057
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.2183,
                "delta": -0.0051
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 15063,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1687
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1508
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0149
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.225,
                "p_top3": 0.9301,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6175
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1287
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1003
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0344
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0011,
                "p_relegation": 0.0165
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1394
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1177
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1408
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.228,
                "p_top3": 0.928,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.3459
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0064,
                "p_top3": 0.154,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0022,
                "p_relegation": 0.0047
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5405,
                "p_top3": 0.9825,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0196
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Academico Viseu",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.174,
                "conditional": 0.1687,
                "delta": -0.0053
              },
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.5405,
                "delta": -0.005
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.228,
                "delta": 0.0046
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Benfica",
        "away_team": "Gil Vicente",
        "matchday": 6,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 37020,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1732
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1492
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0162
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2459,
                "p_top3": 0.9405,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6211
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1263
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1667
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0359
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0214
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1415
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1215
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1389
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2161,
                "p_top3": 0.9278,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2632
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0064,
                "p_top3": 0.1451,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0019,
                "p_relegation": 0.0053
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5314,
                "p_top3": 0.982,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0196
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.5314,
                "delta": -0.0141
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1451,
                "delta": -0.0081
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.2161,
                "delta": -0.0073
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 8268,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1782
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1502
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0012,
                "p_relegation": 0.0145
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.1745,
                "p_top3": 0.9072,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6211
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1201
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1697
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.0359
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0015,
                "p_relegation": 0.0138
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1473
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.123
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1341
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2412,
                "p_top3": 0.934,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.2672
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0074,
                "p_top3": 0.169,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0022,
                "p_relegation": 0.0045
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5769,
                "p_top3": 0.984,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0204
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.5769,
                "delta": 0.0314
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.2412,
                "delta": 0.0178
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.169,
                "delta": 0.0157
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 4712,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1728
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.152
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0013,
                "p_relegation": 0.0161
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.1418,
                "p_top3": 0.8822,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6212
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.1343
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1643
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0382
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0025,
                "p_relegation": 0.007
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1377
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1227
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1441
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2496,
                "p_top3": 0.9304,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2615
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0072,
                "p_top3": 0.1895,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0042,
                "p_relegation": 0.0072
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.6014,
                "p_top3": 0.9875,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0008,
                "p_relegation": 0.021
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Sporting CP",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.5455,
                "conditional": 0.6014,
                "delta": 0.0559
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1895,
                "delta": 0.0363
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.2496,
                "delta": 0.0262
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      },
      {
        "home_team": "Famalicao",
        "away_team": "Sporting CP",
        "matchday": 6,
        "conditionals": {
          "H": {
            "n_sims": 6754,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1716
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1515
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0145
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.284,
                "p_top3": 0.9291,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6253
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1303
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1673
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0009,
                "p_relegation": 0.0148
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0191
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1457
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.122
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1359
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2831,
                "p_top3": 0.9347,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2745
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0093,
                "p_top3": 0.1648,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0028,
                "p_relegation": 0.007
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.4236,
                "p_top3": 0.9658,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0004,
                "p_relegation": 0.0206
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2243,
                "conditional": 0.284,
                "delta": 0.0597
              },
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.2831,
                "delta": 0.0597
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1648,
                "delta": 0.0116
              }
            ]
          },
          "D": {
            "n_sims": 10353,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1737
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1499
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0002,
                "p_top3": 0.0013,
                "p_relegation": 0.0165
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.251,
                "p_top3": 0.9321,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.6187
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1303
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1738
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0005,
                "p_relegation": 0.0276
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.018
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.1404
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0001,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1264
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1377
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2549,
                "p_top3": 0.9315,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.2612
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.008,
                "p_top3": 0.1537,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0017,
                "p_relegation": 0.0056
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.4858,
                "p_top3": 0.9773,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0007,
                "p_relegation": 0.0202
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.2549,
                "delta": 0.0315
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2243,
                "conditional": 0.251,
                "delta": 0.0267
              },
              {
                "team": "Estrela Amadora",
                "metric": "p_relegation",
                "baseline": 0.167,
                "conditional": 0.1738,
                "delta": 0.0068
              }
            ]
          },
          "A": {
            "n_sims": 32893,
            "teams": {
              "Academico Viseu": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1745
              },
              "Alverca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1492
              },
              "Arouca": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.001,
                "p_relegation": 0.016
              },
              "Benfica": {
                "p_champion": 0.2037,
                "p_top3": 0.9288,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Casa Pia": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.621
              },
              "Estoril": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1238
              },
              "Estrela Amadora": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1648
              },
              "Famalicao": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0002,
                "p_relegation": 0.0432
              },
              "Gil Vicente": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.001,
                "p_relegation": 0.019
              },
              "Maritimo": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.1419
              },
              "Moreirense": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1204
              },
              "Nacional": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0,
                "p_relegation": 0.1394
              },
              "Porto": {
                "p_champion": 0.2013,
                "p_top3": 0.9271,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Rio Ave": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0001,
                "p_relegation": 0.2622
              },
              "SC Braga": {
                "p_champion": 0.0057,
                "p_top3": 0.1507,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Santa Clara": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0022,
                "p_relegation": 0.0049
              },
              "Sporting CP": {
                "p_champion": 0.5894,
                "p_top3": 0.9881,
                "p_relegation": 0.0
              },
              "Vitoria SC": {
                "p_champion": 0.0,
                "p_top3": 0.0006,
                "p_relegation": 0.0197
              }
            },
            "movers": [
              {
                "team": "Porto",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2234,
                "conditional": 0.2013,
                "delta": -0.0222
              },
              {
                "team": "Benfica",
                "metric": "p_champion",
                "baseline": 0.2243,
                "conditional": 0.2037,
                "delta": -0.0207
              },
              {
                "team": "SC Braga",
                "metric": "p_top3",
                "baseline": 0.1532,
                "conditional": 0.1507,
                "delta": -0.0025
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      }
    ]
  },
  "points_lookup": {
    "Benfica": {
      "team": "Benfica",
      "target": "champion",
      "current_points": 10,
      "p_current": 0.2243,
      "lookup": {
        "47": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 82
        },
        "48": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 92
        },
        "49": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 123
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 202
        },
        "51": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 289
        },
        "52": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 362
        },
        "53": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 498
        },
        "54": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 623
        },
        "55": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 794
        },
        "56": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 991
        },
        "57": {
          "p_target": 0.0016,
          "n_sims": 1274
        },
        "58": {
          "p_target": 0.002,
          "n_sims": 1466
        },
        "59": {
          "p_target": 0.0028,
          "n_sims": 1759
        },
        "60": {
          "p_target": 0.007,
          "n_sims": 2013
        },
        "61": {
          "p_target": 0.0108,
          "n_sims": 2398
        },
        "62": {
          "p_target": 0.0208,
          "n_sims": 2638
        },
        "63": {
          "p_target": 0.0304,
          "n_sims": 2764
        },
        "64": {
          "p_target": 0.0439,
          "n_sims": 3007
        },
        "65": {
          "p_target": 0.0773,
          "n_sims": 3014
        },
        "66": {
          "p_target": 0.1158,
          "n_sims": 3066
        },
        "67": {
          "p_target": 0.1573,
          "n_sims": 3019
        },
        "68": {
          "p_target": 0.2067,
          "n_sims": 2995
        },
        "69": {
          "p_target": 0.2958,
          "n_sims": 2661
        },
        "70": {
          "p_target": 0.3651,
          "n_sims": 2564
        },
        "71": {
          "p_target": 0.4381,
          "n_sims": 2221
        },
        "72": {
          "p_target": 0.5351,
          "n_sims": 1953
        },
        "73": {
          "p_target": 0.6426,
          "n_sims": 1659
        },
        "74": {
          "p_target": 0.6884,
          "n_sims": 1457
        },
        "75": {
          "p_target": 0.7882,
          "n_sims": 1081
        },
        "76": {
          "p_target": 0.8343,
          "n_sims": 869
        },
        "77": {
          "p_target": 0.8946,
          "n_sims": 645
        },
        "78": {
          "p_target": 0.938,
          "n_sims": 484
        },
        "79": {
          "p_target": 0.9329,
          "n_sims": 313
        },
        "80": {
          "p_target": 0.9851,
          "n_sims": 202
        },
        "81": {
          "p_target": 0.9847,
          "n_sims": 131
        },
        "82": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 78
        },
        "83": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 50
        }
      }
    },
    "Porto": {
      "team": "Porto",
      "target": "champion",
      "current_points": 15,
      "p_current": 0.2234,
      "lookup": {
        "42": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 62
        },
        "43": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 90
        },
        "44": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 121
        },
        "45": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 187
        },
        "46": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 266
        },
        "47": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 328
        },
        "48": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 460
        },
        "49": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 573
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 754
        },
        "51": {
          "p_target": 0.0021,
          "n_sims": 939
        },
        "52": {
          "p_target": 0.0009,
          "n_sims": 1138
        },
        "53": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 1378
        },
        "54": {
          "p_target": 0.0018,
          "n_sims": 1699
        },
        "55": {
          "p_target": 0.0035,
          "n_sims": 1980
        },
        "56": {
          "p_target": 0.0065,
          "n_sims": 2168
        },
        "57": {
          "p_target": 0.0166,
          "n_sims": 2471
        },
        "58": {
          "p_target": 0.0238,
          "n_sims": 2734
        },
        "59": {
          "p_target": 0.0452,
          "n_sims": 2811
        },
        "60": {
          "p_target": 0.0583,
          "n_sims": 2966
        },
        "61": {
          "p_target": 0.0998,
          "n_sims": 3036
        },
        "62": {
          "p_target": 0.1494,
          "n_sims": 3092
        },
        "63": {
          "p_target": 0.2028,
          "n_sims": 3048
        },
        "64": {
          "p_target": 0.2559,
          "n_sims": 2821
        },
        "65": {
          "p_target": 0.329,
          "n_sims": 2632
        },
        "66": {
          "p_target": 0.4023,
          "n_sims": 2386
        },
        "67": {
          "p_target": 0.5031,
          "n_sims": 2083
        },
        "68": {
          "p_target": 0.5809,
          "n_sims": 1742
        },
        "69": {
          "p_target": 0.6692,
          "n_sims": 1445
        },
        "70": {
          "p_target": 0.7404,
          "n_sims": 1194
        },
        "71": {
          "p_target": 0.7941,
          "n_sims": 918
        },
        "72": {
          "p_target": 0.8529,
          "n_sims": 748
        },
        "73": {
          "p_target": 0.9063,
          "n_sims": 523
        },
        "74": {
          "p_target": 0.9547,
          "n_sims": 397
        },
        "75": {
          "p_target": 0.9522,
          "n_sims": 230
        },
        "76": {
          "p_target": 0.9819,
          "n_sims": 166
        },
        "77": {
          "p_target": 0.9826,
          "n_sims": 115
        },
        "78": {
          "p_target": 0.9886,
          "n_sims": 88
        }
      }
    },
    "Sporting CP": {
      "team": "Sporting CP",
      "target": "champion",
      "current_points": 13,
      "p_current": 0.5455,
      "lookup": {
        "49": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 61
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 83
        },
        "51": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 111
        },
        "52": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 177
        },
        "53": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 234
        },
        "54": {
          "p_target": 0.0086,
          "n_sims": 349
        },
        "55": {
          "p_target": 0.0115,
          "n_sims": 434
        },
        "56": {
          "p_target": 0.0083,
          "n_sims": 599
        },
        "57": {
          "p_target": 0.0177,
          "n_sims": 733
        },
        "58": {
          "p_target": 0.0221,
          "n_sims": 949
        },
        "59": {
          "p_target": 0.047,
          "n_sims": 1276
        },
        "60": {
          "p_target": 0.0936,
          "n_sims": 1539
        },
        "61": {
          "p_target": 0.1242,
          "n_sims": 1819
        },
        "62": {
          "p_target": 0.1679,
          "n_sims": 2126
        },
        "63": {
          "p_target": 0.2325,
          "n_sims": 2422
        },
        "64": {
          "p_target": 0.3004,
          "n_sims": 2713
        },
        "65": {
          "p_target": 0.3761,
          "n_sims": 3015
        },
        "66": {
          "p_target": 0.4454,
          "n_sims": 3197
        },
        "67": {
          "p_target": 0.5309,
          "n_sims": 3272
        },
        "68": {
          "p_target": 0.638,
          "n_sims": 3260
        },
        "69": {
          "p_target": 0.7103,
          "n_sims": 3359
        },
        "70": {
          "p_target": 0.7758,
          "n_sims": 3095
        },
        "71": {
          "p_target": 0.8263,
          "n_sims": 2947
        },
        "72": {
          "p_target": 0.8901,
          "n_sims": 2621
        },
        "73": {
          "p_target": 0.9274,
          "n_sims": 2286
        },
        "74": {
          "p_target": 0.9419,
          "n_sims": 1841
        },
        "75": {
          "p_target": 0.9632,
          "n_sims": 1603
        },
        "76": {
          "p_target": 0.9825,
          "n_sims": 1201
        },
        "77": {
          "p_target": 0.9886,
          "n_sims": 876
        },
        "78": {
          "p_target": 0.9952,
          "n_sims": 620
        },
        "79": {
          "p_target": 0.9926,
          "n_sims": 406
        },
        "80": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 310
        },
        "81": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 168
        },
        "82": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 97
        },
        "83": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 54
        }
      }
    },
    "Academico Viseu": {
      "team": "Academico Viseu",
      "target": "survival",
      "current_points": 5,
      "p_current": 0.826,
      "lookup": {
        "14": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 110
        },
        "15": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 162
        },
        "16": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 210
        },
        "17": {
          "p_target": 0.0067,
          "n_sims": 298
        },
        "18": {
          "p_target": 0.0156,
          "n_sims": 384
        },
        "19": {
          "p_target": 0.0236,
          "n_sims": 550
        },
        "20": {
          "p_target": 0.0503,
          "n_sims": 756
        },
        "21": {
          "p_target": 0.1126,
          "n_sims": 924
        },
        "22": {
          "p_target": 0.1635,
          "n_sims": 1168
        },
        "23": {
          "p_target": 0.2543,
          "n_sims": 1392
        },
        "24": {
          "p_target": 0.3887,
          "n_sims": 1613
        },
        "25": {
          "p_target": 0.5564,
          "n_sims": 1923
        },
        "26": {
          "p_target": 0.6881,
          "n_sims": 2164
        },
        "27": {
          "p_target": 0.8118,
          "n_sims": 2364
        },
        "28": {
          "p_target": 0.9071,
          "n_sims": 2497
        },
        "29": {
          "p_target": 0.9605,
          "n_sims": 2709
        },
        "30": {
          "p_target": 0.9883,
          "n_sims": 2816
        },
        "31": {
          "p_target": 0.9972,
          "n_sims": 2824
        },
        "32": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2781
        },
        "33": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2703
        },
        "34": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2599
        },
        "35": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2463
        },
        "36": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2347
        },
        "37": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2026
        },
        "38": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1818
        },
        "39": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1566
        },
        "40": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1333
        },
        "41": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1139
        },
        "42": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 955
        },
        "43": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 755
        },
        "44": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 653
        },
        "45": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 461
        },
        "46": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 363
        },
        "47": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 295
        },
        "48": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 219
        },
        "49": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 162
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 122
        },
        "51": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 86
        },
        "52": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 67
        }
      }
    },
    "Alverca": {
      "team": "Alverca",
      "target": "survival",
      "current_points": 2,
      "p_current": 0.8504,
      "lookup": {
        "16": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 59
        },
        "17": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 73
        },
        "18": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 140
        },
        "19": {
          "p_target": 0.0115,
          "n_sims": 174
        },
        "20": {
          "p_target": 0.0039,
          "n_sims": 254
        },
        "21": {
          "p_target": 0.0058,
          "n_sims": 342
        },
        "22": {
          "p_target": 0.0164,
          "n_sims": 489
        },
        "23": {
          "p_target": 0.0617,
          "n_sims": 616
        },
        "24": {
          "p_target": 0.1073,
          "n_sims": 820
        },
        "25": {
          "p_target": 0.1858,
          "n_sims": 1044
        },
        "26": {
          "p_target": 0.2967,
          "n_sims": 1301
        },
        "27": {
          "p_target": 0.4341,
          "n_sims": 1509
        },
        "28": {
          "p_target": 0.5887,
          "n_sims": 1719
        },
        "29": {
          "p_target": 0.7096,
          "n_sims": 2056
        },
        "30": {
          "p_target": 0.8353,
          "n_sims": 2186
        },
        "31": {
          "p_target": 0.9264,
          "n_sims": 2420
        },
        "32": {
          "p_target": 0.9733,
          "n_sims": 2660
        },
        "33": {
          "p_target": 0.9875,
          "n_sims": 2638
        },
        "34": {
          "p_target": 0.9979,
          "n_sims": 2806
        },
        "35": {
          "p_target": 0.9996,
          "n_sims": 2840
        },
        "36": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2754
        },
        "37": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2734
        },
        "38": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2574
        },
        "39": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2385
        },
        "40": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2239
        },
        "41": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1991
        },
        "42": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1705
        },
        "43": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1465
        },
        "44": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1250
        },
        "45": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1060
        },
        "46": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 830
        },
        "47": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 675
        },
        "48": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 561
        },
        "49": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 404
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 308
        },
        "51": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 257
        },
        "52": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 179
        },
        "53": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 133
        },
        "54": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 79
        },
        "55": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 67
        }
      }
    },
    "Casa Pia": {
      "team": "Casa Pia",
      "target": "survival",
      "current_points": 1,
      "p_current": 0.3789,
      "lookup": {
        "10": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 54
        },
        "11": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 79
        },
        "12": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 139
        },
        "13": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 191
        },
        "14": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 321
        },
        "15": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 466
        },
        "16": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 561
        },
        "17": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 864
        },
        "18": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 1094
        },
        "19": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 1364
        },
        "20": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 1634
        },
        "21": {
          "p_target": 0.0005,
          "n_sims": 1926
        },
        "22": {
          "p_target": 0.0053,
          "n_sims": 2285
        },
        "23": {
          "p_target": 0.0082,
          "n_sims": 2576
        },
        "24": {
          "p_target": 0.0179,
          "n_sims": 2845
        },
        "25": {
          "p_target": 0.0497,
          "n_sims": 2936
        },
        "26": {
          "p_target": 0.0855,
          "n_sims": 3076
        },
        "27": {
          "p_target": 0.1559,
          "n_sims": 3123
        },
        "28": {
          "p_target": 0.2441,
          "n_sims": 2966
        },
        "29": {
          "p_target": 0.3958,
          "n_sims": 2842
        },
        "30": {
          "p_target": 0.5624,
          "n_sims": 2772
        },
        "31": {
          "p_target": 0.7196,
          "n_sims": 2457
        },
        "32": {
          "p_target": 0.8368,
          "n_sims": 2328
        },
        "33": {
          "p_target": 0.9257,
          "n_sims": 2031
        },
        "34": {
          "p_target": 0.9721,
          "n_sims": 1827
        },
        "35": {
          "p_target": 0.9937,
          "n_sims": 1599
        },
        "36": {
          "p_target": 0.9992,
          "n_sims": 1219
        },
        "37": {
          "p_target": 0.9991,
          "n_sims": 1075
        },
        "38": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 837
        },
        "39": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 657
        },
        "40": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 483
        },
        "41": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 359
        },
        "42": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 307
        },
        "43": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 194
        },
        "44": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 136
        },
        "45": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 114
        },
        "46": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 70
        },
        "47": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 55
        }
      }
    },
    "Estoril": {
      "team": "Estoril",
      "target": "survival",
      "current_points": 1,
      "p_current": 0.874,
      "lookup": {
        "18": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 56
        },
        "19": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 105
        },
        "20": {
          "p_target": 0.0075,
          "n_sims": 134
        },
        "21": {
          "p_target": 0.0047,
          "n_sims": 211
        },
        "22": {
          "p_target": 0.0176,
          "n_sims": 284
        },
        "23": {
          "p_target": 0.0276,
          "n_sims": 399
        },
        "24": {
          "p_target": 0.074,
          "n_sims": 527
        },
        "25": {
          "p_target": 0.0943,
          "n_sims": 689
        },
        "26": {
          "p_target": 0.1635,
          "n_sims": 844
        },
        "27": {
          "p_target": 0.2848,
          "n_sims": 1064
        },
        "28": {
          "p_target": 0.4509,
          "n_sims": 1304
        },
        "29": {
          "p_target": 0.5645,
          "n_sims": 1559
        },
        "30": {
          "p_target": 0.715,
          "n_sims": 1758
        },
        "31": {
          "p_target": 0.8559,
          "n_sims": 2033
        },
        "32": {
          "p_target": 0.9204,
          "n_sims": 2235
        },
        "33": {
          "p_target": 0.9685,
          "n_sims": 2479
        },
        "34": {
          "p_target": 0.9932,
          "n_sims": 2502
        },
        "35": {
          "p_target": 0.9979,
          "n_sims": 2821
        },
        "36": {
          "p_target": 0.9996,
          "n_sims": 2703
        },
        "37": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2769
        },
        "38": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2770
        },
        "39": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2689
        },
        "40": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2488
        },
        "41": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2318
        },
        "42": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2238
        },
        "43": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1981
        },
        "44": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1693
        },
        "45": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1427
        },
        "46": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1252
        },
        "47": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1060
        },
        "48": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 881
        },
        "49": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 653
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 486
        },
        "51": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 424
        },
        "52": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 337
        },
        "53": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 226
        },
        "54": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 160
        },
        "55": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 117
        },
        "56": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 100
        }
      }
    },
    "Estrela Amadora": {
      "team": "Estrela Amadora",
      "target": "survival",
      "current_points": 6,
      "p_current": 0.833,
      "lookup": {
        "13": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 65
        },
        "14": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 115
        },
        "15": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 165
        },
        "16": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 271
        },
        "17": {
          "p_target": 0.0076,
          "n_sims": 396
        },
        "18": {
          "p_target": 0.0289,
          "n_sims": 485
        },
        "19": {
          "p_target": 0.0583,
          "n_sims": 686
        },
        "20": {
          "p_target": 0.0985,
          "n_sims": 863
        },
        "21": {
          "p_target": 0.1585,
          "n_sims": 1161
        },
        "22": {
          "p_target": 0.3105,
          "n_sims": 1388
        },
        "23": {
          "p_target": 0.3769,
          "n_sims": 1674
        },
        "24": {
          "p_target": 0.5508,
          "n_sims": 1957
        },
        "25": {
          "p_target": 0.7019,
          "n_sims": 2298
        },
        "26": {
          "p_target": 0.8201,
          "n_sims": 2468
        },
        "27": {
          "p_target": 0.9143,
          "n_sims": 2697
        },
        "28": {
          "p_target": 0.9669,
          "n_sims": 2809
        },
        "29": {
          "p_target": 0.9902,
          "n_sims": 2962
        },
        "30": {
          "p_target": 0.997,
          "n_sims": 2981
        },
        "31": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2953
        },
        "32": {
          "p_target": 0.9996,
          "n_sims": 2729
        },
        "33": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2757
        },
        "34": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2517
        },
        "35": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2238
        },
        "36": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2045
        },
        "37": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1802
        },
        "38": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1510
        },
        "39": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1264
        },
        "40": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1029
        },
        "41": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 866
        },
        "42": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 674
        },
        "43": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 597
        },
        "44": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 425
        },
        "45": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 267
        },
        "46": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 242
        },
        "47": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 173
        },
        "48": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 120
        },
        "49": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 93
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 61
        }
      }
    },
    "Maritimo": {
      "team": "Maritimo",
      "target": "survival",
      "current_points": 7,
      "p_current": 0.8579,
      "lookup": {
        "12": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 56
        },
        "13": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 82
        },
        "14": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 130
        },
        "15": {
          "p_target": 0.0047,
          "n_sims": 214
        },
        "16": {
          "p_target": 0.0125,
          "n_sims": 319
        },
        "17": {
          "p_target": 0.0244,
          "n_sims": 450
        },
        "18": {
          "p_target": 0.0571,
          "n_sims": 560
        },
        "19": {
          "p_target": 0.1026,
          "n_sims": 741
        },
        "20": {
          "p_target": 0.1674,
          "n_sims": 956
        },
        "21": {
          "p_target": 0.2697,
          "n_sims": 1157
        },
        "22": {
          "p_target": 0.3978,
          "n_sims": 1443
        },
        "23": {
          "p_target": 0.5475,
          "n_sims": 1642
        },
        "24": {
          "p_target": 0.6835,
          "n_sims": 1899
        },
        "25": {
          "p_target": 0.8226,
          "n_sims": 2210
        },
        "26": {
          "p_target": 0.9089,
          "n_sims": 2359
        },
        "27": {
          "p_target": 0.9595,
          "n_sims": 2616
        },
        "28": {
          "p_target": 0.9886,
          "n_sims": 2719
        },
        "29": {
          "p_target": 0.9954,
          "n_sims": 2801
        },
        "30": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2894
        },
        "31": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2799
        },
        "32": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2748
        },
        "33": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2552
        },
        "34": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2470
        },
        "35": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2287
        },
        "36": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2033
        },
        "37": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1743
        },
        "38": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1568
        },
        "39": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1364
        },
        "40": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1131
        },
        "41": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 945
        },
        "42": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 730
        },
        "43": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 593
        },
        "44": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 457
        },
        "45": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 347
        },
        "46": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 290
        },
        "47": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 172
        },
        "48": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 121
        },
        "49": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 106
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 74
        },
        "51": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 51
        }
      }
    },
    "Moreirense": {
      "team": "Moreirense",
      "target": "survival",
      "current_points": 4,
      "p_current": 0.8781,
      "lookup": {
        "15": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 54
        },
        "16": {
          "p_target": 0.0152,
          "n_sims": 66
        },
        "17": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 111
        },
        "18": {
          "p_target": 0.0127,
          "n_sims": 157
        },
        "19": {
          "p_target": 0.019,
          "n_sims": 263
        },
        "20": {
          "p_target": 0.0379,
          "n_sims": 343
        },
        "21": {
          "p_target": 0.0618,
          "n_sims": 469
        },
        "22": {
          "p_target": 0.108,
          "n_sims": 639
        },
        "23": {
          "p_target": 0.1986,
          "n_sims": 836
        },
        "24": {
          "p_target": 0.2942,
          "n_sims": 1074
        },
        "25": {
          "p_target": 0.3976,
          "n_sims": 1260
        },
        "26": {
          "p_target": 0.5721,
          "n_sims": 1512
        },
        "27": {
          "p_target": 0.7084,
          "n_sims": 1831
        },
        "28": {
          "p_target": 0.8362,
          "n_sims": 1984
        },
        "29": {
          "p_target": 0.9038,
          "n_sims": 2265
        },
        "30": {
          "p_target": 0.9631,
          "n_sims": 2517
        },
        "31": {
          "p_target": 0.9904,
          "n_sims": 2719
        },
        "32": {
          "p_target": 0.9982,
          "n_sims": 2854
        },
        "33": {
          "p_target": 0.9997,
          "n_sims": 2915
        },
        "34": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2937
        },
        "35": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2818
        },
        "36": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2726
        },
        "37": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2508
        },
        "38": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2382
        },
        "39": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2169
        },
        "40": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1948
        },
        "41": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1702
        },
        "42": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1448
        },
        "43": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1196
        },
        "44": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 991
        },
        "45": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 730
        },
        "46": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 633
        },
        "47": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 500
        },
        "48": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 377
        },
        "49": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 254
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 239
        },
        "51": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 167
        },
        "52": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 111
        },
        "53": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 82
        },
        "54": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 54
        }
      }
    },
    "Nacional": {
      "team": "Nacional",
      "target": "survival",
      "current_points": 4,
      "p_current": 0.8614,
      "lookup": {
        "15": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 54
        },
        "16": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 98
        },
        "17": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 162
        },
        "18": {
          "p_target": 0.0095,
          "n_sims": 211
        },
        "19": {
          "p_target": 0.0094,
          "n_sims": 320
        },
        "20": {
          "p_target": 0.0406,
          "n_sims": 443
        },
        "21": {
          "p_target": 0.0525,
          "n_sims": 590
        },
        "22": {
          "p_target": 0.1063,
          "n_sims": 762
        },
        "23": {
          "p_target": 0.2203,
          "n_sims": 958
        },
        "24": {
          "p_target": 0.2958,
          "n_sims": 1217
        },
        "25": {
          "p_target": 0.4299,
          "n_sims": 1498
        },
        "26": {
          "p_target": 0.5805,
          "n_sims": 1671
        },
        "27": {
          "p_target": 0.7167,
          "n_sims": 1980
        },
        "28": {
          "p_target": 0.8414,
          "n_sims": 2200
        },
        "29": {
          "p_target": 0.9375,
          "n_sims": 2449
        },
        "30": {
          "p_target": 0.9696,
          "n_sims": 2727
        },
        "31": {
          "p_target": 0.9909,
          "n_sims": 2758
        },
        "32": {
          "p_target": 0.9975,
          "n_sims": 2809
        },
        "33": {
          "p_target": 0.9993,
          "n_sims": 2940
        },
        "34": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2935
        },
        "35": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2725
        },
        "36": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2631
        },
        "37": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2433
        },
        "38": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2217
        },
        "39": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2076
        },
        "40": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1755
        },
        "41": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1492
        },
        "42": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1271
        },
        "43": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1024
        },
        "44": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 859
        },
        "45": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 675
        },
        "46": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 493
        },
        "47": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 392
        },
        "48": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 321
        },
        "49": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 213
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 169
        },
        "51": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 134
        },
        "52": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 76
        },
        "53": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 56
        },
        "54": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 54
        }
      }
    },
    "Rio Ave": {
      "team": "Rio Ave",
      "target": "survival",
      "current_points": 3,
      "p_current": 0.7363,
      "lookup": {
        "14": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 65
        },
        "15": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 125
        },
        "16": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 191
        },
        "17": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 267
        },
        "18": {
          "p_target": 0.0,
          "n_sims": 389
        },
        "19": {
          "p_target": 0.0038,
          "n_sims": 532
        },
        "20": {
          "p_target": 0.0115,
          "n_sims": 696
        },
        "21": {
          "p_target": 0.0238,
          "n_sims": 881
        },
        "22": {
          "p_target": 0.0408,
          "n_sims": 1103
        },
        "23": {
          "p_target": 0.0942,
          "n_sims": 1380
        },
        "24": {
          "p_target": 0.1647,
          "n_sims": 1633
        },
        "25": {
          "p_target": 0.2167,
          "n_sims": 1989
        },
        "26": {
          "p_target": 0.3623,
          "n_sims": 2230
        },
        "27": {
          "p_target": 0.5008,
          "n_sims": 2450
        },
        "28": {
          "p_target": 0.648,
          "n_sims": 2676
        },
        "29": {
          "p_target": 0.7844,
          "n_sims": 2792
        },
        "30": {
          "p_target": 0.8869,
          "n_sims": 2917
        },
        "31": {
          "p_target": 0.947,
          "n_sims": 2903
        },
        "32": {
          "p_target": 0.9831,
          "n_sims": 2908
        },
        "33": {
          "p_target": 0.9951,
          "n_sims": 2884
        },
        "34": {
          "p_target": 0.9989,
          "n_sims": 2632
        },
        "35": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2534
        },
        "36": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2289
        },
        "37": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 2000
        },
        "38": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1743
        },
        "39": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1620
        },
        "40": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1315
        },
        "41": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 1089
        },
        "42": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 898
        },
        "43": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 730
        },
        "44": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 563
        },
        "45": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 391
        },
        "46": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 290
        },
        "47": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 236
        },
        "48": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 189
        },
        "49": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 114
        },
        "50": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 77
        },
        "51": {
          "p_target": 1.0,
          "n_sims": 62
        }
      }
    }
  }
}