{
  "metric": "contested-possession ability",
  "unit": "posterior probability of winning a contested duel",
  "interval_mass": 0.9,
  "seasons": [
    "2023-24",
    "2024-25",
    "2025-26",
    "2026-27"
  ],
  "career_pooled": true,
  "current_squads_only": true,
  "new_signing_note": "Career-pooled over three seasons by necessity: single-season separability is 2-14%, so a newly arrived player cannot be rated for roughly two seasons.",
  "not_a_defensive_rating": "This measures contested possession — aerial and ground duels — not defensive contribution, which remains unmeasurable at this league size (ADR-020/021).",
  "cells": [
    {
      "channel": "aerial",
      "position": "D",
      "n_players": 135,
      "positional_mean": 0.5902,
      "separable": 29,
      "permutation_null": 1.05,
      "club_corr_raw": 0.073,
      "split_half": 0.499,
      "ships": true,
      "n_current": 52,
      "n_departed": 83,
      "ranking": [
        {
          "rank": 1,
          "player": "Jan Bednarek",
          "player_id": 286085,
          "team": "Porto",
          "duels": 221,
          "won": 159,
          "rate_raw": 0.7195,
          "theta": 0.6913,
          "theta_lo": 0.6454,
          "theta_hi": 0.7357,
          "above_positional_mean": true,
          "matches": 37,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 2,
          "player": "Bernardo Schappo",
          "player_id": 1017590,
          "team": "Estrela Amadora",
          "duels": 138,
          "won": 100,
          "rate_raw": 0.7246,
          "theta": 0.6832,
          "theta_lo": 0.6281,
          "theta_hi": 0.7362,
          "above_positional_mean": true,
          "matches": 30,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 3,
          "player": "Gustaf Lagerbielke",
          "player_id": 965263,
          "team": "SC Braga",
          "duels": 136,
          "won": 98,
          "rate_raw": 0.7206,
          "theta": 0.68,
          "theta_lo": 0.6245,
          "theta_hi": 0.7334,
          "above_positional_mean": true,
          "matches": 30,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 4,
          "player": "Ze Vitor",
          "player_id": 1112474,
          "team": "Nacional",
          "duels": 284,
          "won": 196,
          "rate_raw": 0.6901,
          "theta": 0.6723,
          "theta_lo": 0.6303,
          "theta_hi": 0.7132,
          "above_positional_mean": true,
          "matches": 65,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 5,
          "player": "Tiago Esgaio",
          "player_id": 863637,
          "team": "Arouca",
          "duels": 331,
          "won": 226,
          "rate_raw": 0.6828,
          "theta": 0.6683,
          "theta_lo": 0.6287,
          "theta_hi": 0.7068,
          "above_positional_mean": true,
          "matches": 84,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 6,
          "player": "Sikou Niakaté",
          "player_id": 868235,
          "team": "SC Braga",
          "duels": 212,
          "won": 143,
          "rate_raw": 0.6745,
          "theta": 0.6556,
          "theta_lo": 0.6077,
          "theta_hi": 0.7021,
          "above_positional_mean": true,
          "matches": 62,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 7,
          "player": "David Sousa",
          "player_id": 1015932,
          "team": "Casa Pia",
          "duels": 134,
          "won": 90,
          "rate_raw": 0.6716,
          "theta": 0.646,
          "theta_lo": 0.5891,
          "theta_hi": 0.7013,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 29,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 8,
          "player": "Ferro",
          "player_id": 357734,
          "team": "Estoril",
          "duels": 138,
          "won": 92,
          "rate_raw": 0.6667,
          "theta": 0.6431,
          "theta_lo": 0.5866,
          "theta_hi": 0.6979,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 60,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 9,
          "player": "Vítor Carvalho",
          "player_id": 887754,
          "team": "SC Braga",
          "duels": 72,
          "won": 49,
          "rate_raw": 0.6806,
          "theta": 0.6389,
          "theta_lo": 0.5696,
          "theta_hi": 0.7059,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 16,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 10,
          "player": "Frederico Venâncio",
          "player_id": 254815,
          "team": "Santa Clara",
          "duels": 128,
          "won": 84,
          "rate_raw": 0.6562,
          "theta": 0.6348,
          "theta_lo": 0.5766,
          "theta_hi": 0.6914,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 64,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 11,
          "player": "Jakub Kiwior",
          "player_id": 976037,
          "team": "Porto",
          "duels": 101,
          "won": 65,
          "rate_raw": 0.6436,
          "theta": 0.6234,
          "theta_lo": 0.5602,
          "theta_hi": 0.6848,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 33,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 12,
          "player": "Nehuén Pérez",
          "player_id": 913401,
          "team": "Porto",
          "duels": 127,
          "won": 80,
          "rate_raw": 0.6299,
          "theta": 0.617,
          "theta_lo": 0.5582,
          "theta_hi": 0.6743,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 38,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 13,
          "player": "Maracás",
          "player_id": 931485,
          "team": "Moreirense",
          "duels": 328,
          "won": 201,
          "rate_raw": 0.6128,
          "theta": 0.6092,
          "theta_lo": 0.5683,
          "theta_hi": 0.6495,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 96,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 14,
          "player": "João Goulart",
          "player_id": 1151667,
          "team": "Casa Pia",
          "duels": 225,
          "won": 138,
          "rate_raw": 0.6133,
          "theta": 0.6084,
          "theta_lo": 0.5606,
          "theta_hi": 0.6553,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 70,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 15,
          "player": "Manu Silva",
          "player_id": 1085740,
          "team": "Benfica",
          "duels": 88,
          "won": 54,
          "rate_raw": 0.6136,
          "theta": 0.604,
          "theta_lo": 0.5376,
          "theta_hi": 0.6688,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 18,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 16,
          "player": "Tomás Araújo",
          "player_id": 983542,
          "team": "Benfica",
          "duels": 164,
          "won": 99,
          "rate_raw": 0.6037,
          "theta": 0.6,
          "theta_lo": 0.5459,
          "theta_hi": 0.653,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 90,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 17,
          "player": "Weverson",
          "player_id": 905452,
          "team": "Gil Vicente",
          "duels": 90,
          "won": 54,
          "rate_raw": 0.6,
          "theta": 0.596,
          "theta_lo": 0.5299,
          "theta_hi": 0.6607,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 63,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 18,
          "player": "Orest Lebedenko",
          "player_id": 844409,
          "team": "Arouca",
          "duels": 70,
          "won": 42,
          "rate_raw": 0.6,
          "theta": 0.5954,
          "theta_lo": 0.5245,
          "theta_hi": 0.6647,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 63,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 19,
          "player": "Antonio Espigares",
          "player_id": 1142261,
          "team": "Gil Vicente",
          "duels": 82,
          "won": 48,
          "rate_raw": 0.5854,
          "theta": 0.5875,
          "theta_lo": 0.5194,
          "theta_hi": 0.6541,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 36,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 20,
          "player": "Marios Vrousai",
          "player_id": 848521,
          "team": "Rio Ave",
          "duels": 66,
          "won": 38,
          "rate_raw": 0.5758,
          "theta": 0.5827,
          "theta_lo": 0.5104,
          "theta_hi": 0.6536,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 32,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 21,
          "player": "Alexander Bah",
          "player_id": 850976,
          "team": "Benfica",
          "duels": 104,
          "won": 60,
          "rate_raw": 0.5769,
          "theta": 0.5819,
          "theta_lo": 0.5184,
          "theta_hi": 0.6442,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 54,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 22,
          "player": "Rodrigo Pinheiro",
          "player_id": 991924,
          "team": "Famalicao",
          "duels": 98,
          "won": 56,
          "rate_raw": 0.5714,
          "theta": 0.5787,
          "theta_lo": 0.514,
          "theta_hi": 0.6422,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 66,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 23,
          "player": "Bright Arrey-Mbi",
          "player_id": 997173,
          "team": "SC Braga",
          "duels": 61,
          "won": 34,
          "rate_raw": 0.5574,
          "theta": 0.5739,
          "theta_lo": 0.5,
          "theta_hi": 0.6464,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 49,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 24,
          "player": "Jose Fontán",
          "player_id": 964609,
          "team": "Arouca",
          "duels": 211,
          "won": 120,
          "rate_raw": 0.5687,
          "theta": 0.5736,
          "theta_lo": 0.5241,
          "theta_hi": 0.6225,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 64,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 25,
          "player": "Zé Carlos",
          "player_id": 1001662,
          "team": "Gil Vicente",
          "duels": 184,
          "won": 104,
          "rate_raw": 0.5652,
          "theta": 0.5715,
          "theta_lo": 0.5193,
          "theta_hi": 0.623,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 92,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 26,
          "player": "Miguel Nóbrega",
          "player_id": 1066233,
          "team": "Vitoria SC",
          "duels": 83,
          "won": 46,
          "rate_raw": 0.5542,
          "theta": 0.5696,
          "theta_lo": 0.5015,
          "theta_hi": 0.6365,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 52,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 27,
          "player": "Alberto Costa",
          "player_id": 1160957,
          "team": "Porto",
          "duels": 78,
          "won": 43,
          "rate_raw": 0.5513,
          "theta": 0.5685,
          "theta_lo": 0.4992,
          "theta_hi": 0.6367,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 63,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 28,
          "player": "Sidney Lima",
          "player_id": 1131145,
          "team": "Santa Clara",
          "duels": 211,
          "won": 118,
          "rate_raw": 0.5592,
          "theta": 0.5662,
          "theta_lo": 0.5167,
          "theta_hi": 0.6153,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 65,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 29,
          "player": "Francisco Moura",
          "player_id": 985138,
          "team": "Porto",
          "duels": 127,
          "won": 70,
          "rate_raw": 0.5512,
          "theta": 0.5639,
          "theta_lo": 0.5043,
          "theta_hi": 0.6228,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
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          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 30,
          "player": "Óscar Rivas",
          "player_id": 1168093,
          "team": "Vitoria SC",
          "duels": 130,
          "won": 71,
          "rate_raw": 0.5462,
          "theta": 0.5603,
          "theta_lo": 0.5011,
          "theta_hi": 0.6188,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 40,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 31,
          "player": "Martim Fernandes",
          "player_id": 1142585,
          "team": "Porto",
          "duels": 68,
          "won": 36,
          "rate_raw": 0.5294,
          "theta": 0.5583,
          "theta_lo": 0.4863,
          "theta_hi": 0.6293,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 55,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 32,
          "player": "Gonçalo Costa",
          "player_id": 1087354,
          "team": "Estoril",
          "duels": 61,
          "won": 32,
          "rate_raw": 0.5246,
          "theta": 0.5576,
          "theta_lo": 0.4835,
          "theta_hi": 0.6306,
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          "matches": 73,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 33,
          "player": "Tomás Silva",
          "player_id": 1176102,
          "team": "Academico Viseu",
          "duels": 70,
          "won": 37,
          "rate_raw": 0.5286,
          "theta": 0.5574,
          "theta_lo": 0.4859,
          "theta_hi": 0.6279,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 27,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 34,
          "player": "Issiar Drame",
          "player_id": 857766,
          "team": "Estrela Amadora",
          "duels": 70,
          "won": 37,
          "rate_raw": 0.5286,
          "theta": 0.5574,
          "theta_lo": 0.4859,
          "theta_hi": 0.6279,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 30,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 35,
          "player": "Léo Santos",
          "player_id": 822509,
          "team": "Nacional",
          "duels": 192,
          "won": 104,
          "rate_raw": 0.5417,
          "theta": 0.5535,
          "theta_lo": 0.502,
          "theta_hi": 0.6045,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 65,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 36,
          "player": "José Gomes",
          "player_id": 344181,
          "team": "Nacional",
          "duels": 130,
          "won": 69,
          "rate_raw": 0.5308,
          "theta": 0.5499,
          "theta_lo": 0.4906,
          "theta_hi": 0.6086,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 54,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 37,
          "player": "Ibrahima Ba",
          "player_id": 1595506,
          "team": "Sporting CP",
          "duels": 90,
          "won": 47,
          "rate_raw": 0.5222,
          "theta": 0.5499,
          "theta_lo": 0.4832,
          "theta_hi": 0.6158,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 41,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 38,
          "player": "Ulisses",
          "player_id": 926869,
          "team": "Nacional",
          "duels": 102,
          "won": 53,
          "rate_raw": 0.5196,
          "theta": 0.5462,
          "theta_lo": 0.482,
          "theta_hi": 0.6097,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 36,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 39,
          "player": "Gilberto Batista",
          "player_id": 1153099,
          "team": "Moreirense",
          "duels": 93,
          "won": 48,
          "rate_raw": 0.5161,
          "theta": 0.5457,
          "theta_lo": 0.4796,
          "theta_hi": 0.611,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 84,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 40,
          "player": "Eduardo Quaresma",
          "player_id": 989841,
          "team": "Sporting CP",
          "duels": 108,
          "won": 56,
          "rate_raw": 0.5185,
          "theta": 0.5446,
          "theta_lo": 0.4815,
          "theta_hi": 0.607,
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          "matches": 85,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 41,
          "player": "Jakub Brabec",
          "player_id": 72020,
          "team": "Rio Ave",
          "duels": 68,
          "won": 34,
          "rate_raw": 0.5,
          "theta": 0.5429,
          "theta_lo": 0.4708,
          "theta_hi": 0.6143,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 34,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 42,
          "player": "Léo Realpe",
          "player_id": 977676,
          "team": "Famalicao",
          "duels": 105,
          "won": 53,
          "rate_raw": 0.5048,
          "theta": 0.5364,
          "theta_lo": 0.4727,
          "theta_hi": 0.5995,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 56,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 43,
          "player": "Henrique Silva",
          "player_id": 1459627,
          "team": "Santa Clara",
          "duels": 66,
          "won": 32,
          "rate_raw": 0.4848,
          "theta": 0.5357,
          "theta_lo": 0.463,
          "theta_hi": 0.6078,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 26,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 44,
          "player": "João Mendes",
          "player_id": 1133568,
          "team": "Vitoria SC",
          "duels": 137,
          "won": 69,
          "rate_raw": 0.5036,
          "theta": 0.5305,
          "theta_lo": 0.4722,
          "theta_hi": 0.5885,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 78,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 45,
          "player": "Boris Popović",
          "player_id": 902050,
          "team": "Arouca",
          "duels": 76,
          "won": 36,
          "rate_raw": 0.4737,
          "theta": 0.5259,
          "theta_lo": 0.4558,
          "theta_hi": 0.5954,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 56,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 46,
          "player": "Gonçalo Inácio",
          "player_id": 1001196,
          "team": "Sporting CP",
          "duels": 307,
          "won": 157,
          "rate_raw": 0.5114,
          "theta": 0.5246,
          "theta_lo": 0.4818,
          "theta_hi": 0.5672,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 94,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 47,
          "player": "Thiago Balieiro",
          "player_id": 1148442,
          "team": "Vitoria SC",
          "duels": 85,
          "won": 40,
          "rate_raw": 0.4706,
          "theta": 0.5209,
          "theta_lo": 0.453,
          "theta_hi": 0.5884,
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          "matches": 24,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 48,
          "player": "Pepe",
          "player_id": 5884,
          "team": "Porto",
          "duels": 85,
          "won": 39,
          "rate_raw": 0.4588,
          "theta": 0.514,
          "theta_lo": 0.4462,
          "theta_hi": 0.5816,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 22,
          "role_cluster": "high_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 49,
          "player": "Dinis Pinto",
          "player_id": 1160980,
          "team": "Moreirense",
          "duels": 152,
          "won": 72,
          "rate_raw": 0.4737,
          "theta": 0.5073,
          "theta_lo": 0.4511,
          "theta_hi": 0.5634,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 79,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 50,
          "player": "Victor Gómez",
          "player_id": 877918,
          "team": "SC Braga",
          "duels": 89,
          "won": 40,
          "rate_raw": 0.4494,
          "theta": 0.507,
          "theta_lo": 0.4401,
          "theta_hi": 0.5738,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 74,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
        {
          "rank": 51,
          "player": "Samuel Dahl",
          "player_id": 993101,
          "team": "Benfica",
          "duels": 64,
          "won": 24,
          "rate_raw": 0.375,
          "theta": 0.4805,
          "theta_lo": 0.4076,
          "theta_hi": 0.5538,
          "above_positional_mean": false,
          "matches": 47,
          "role_cluster": "low_aerial"
        },
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